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The Transfer Flow Podcast
Episode 45 - How Amorim already changed United + Man City's downward spiral
On this episode, Ted and Patrick start with Mo Salah's goal vs. Southampton and how good Liverpool need to be to win the title this year. Then comes Man City, whose 4-0 loss to Tottenham marks their 5th straight defeat. City need help, but can they hang on until the January window? Next, Ruben Amorim led United to a 1-1 draw with Ipswich in his first game as manager. How much impact has he had already, and how long will it take for United to turn things around? Finally, the episode ends with discussion of Arsenal vs. Forest, Everton vs. Brentford, and Joao Pedro's wonderful assist vs. Bournemouth. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:24 - An Interesting Segue and Mo Salah’s goal
03:16 - A Bad defensive performance from Liverpool
04:15 - Liverpool are on the good side of Variation (but they create it too)
05:39 - Liverpool don’t need to be THAT great to win the title
06:36 - Man City lose their 5th game in a row
07:38 - Kyle Walker is no longer Pep’s get out of jail free card
09:18 - City need 3 players in the January window
11:04 - Tottenham were constantly running at the back four
12:34 - Ruben Amorim’s first match as United manager
13:40 - Amorim’s influence is already showing
14:38 - Who is scoring goals for United?
15:48 - United built through the wingbacks (especially Mazraoui)
17:05 - United will continue to change over the next few weeks
19:43 - Who are the wide attackers that are helping to create for United?
20:52 - Will Gyokeres be the solution? + Should United become Sporting
21:45 - Where will United finish this year?
22:57 - Arsenal vs. Forest
25:20 - Odegaard facilitated the Arsenal attack, which was missing while he was gone
26:56 - Arsenal have to figure out how to attack without relying on Odegaard
27:32 - Arsenal haven’t put games away this season
28:06 - Leads allow teams to transition more
30:16 - Everton vs. Brentford
30:45 - Everton went up a man but couldn’t find a goal
32:45 - Joao Pedro’s assist in Brighton’s win over Bournemouth
33:32 - The angled run from Mitoma was beautiful
34:24 - Fans of big teams only are selling themselves short this season
35:41 - Taking a break Thursday and Friday
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Episode 46 - Barcelona Transfer Rumours: Replacing Aging Stars, The Answer at Left Wing, and who to sign at Right Back?
44:40|On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss Barcelona's needs for the upcoming transfer window. They begin at right back, where they haven't had a stable answer in years. Should they bring in Devyne Rensch, bring back a former player, or swing for the fences and sign Trent Alexander-Arnold or Alphonso Davies?? Then comes striker, how do they handle finding a backup for Robert Lewandowski? Getting the position right could extend Lewandowski's peak, but is it a low-risk strategy? Next comes left winger, where Rafael Leao could make a splash move. However, is his defensive work rate too low to work with Lewandowski? And finally, Ravi tells all on Borja Sainz, who might be the next big move for Athletic Club. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribeJoin Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgradeFollow us on our Socials:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1QX: https://x.com/TheTransferFlowBluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.socialInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcastTimestamps:00:00 - Intro00:30 - Barca have produced academy kids at many positions03:11 - Defenders Barcelona could be looking at03:14 - Devyne Rensch from Ajax05:22 - One Quality he has that’s very important09:38 - Barcelona have been searching for the answer at RB10:32 - The changing nature of the fullback position12:22 - Óscar Mingueza13:08 - He’s all-out attack15:02 - Is he a profile that Barcelona need?16:06 - Could Trent Alexander-Arnold come on board?17:17 - Alphonso Davies is more realistic w/ Hansi Flick as manager18:24 - Vitor Roque as a Lewandowski Replacement19:17 - Jonathan David20:36 - David plays a different style than Lewandowski22:58 - Prolonging Lewandowski’s peak25:51 - It’s a low-risk strategy28:04 - What’s the plan at left winger and goalkeeper?29:35 - Rafael Leao could bring magic to the wing30:30 - How much defensive work will he really do?32:20 - Leao is a Soloist34:03 - Leao and Lewandowksi can’t coexist defensively 35:22 - Borja Sainz is on a tear38:12 - He’s also a good presser38:51 - He’s from the Basque region, could Athletic Club be interested?40:31 - Could an EPL team swoop him up?Episode 44 - Real Madrid Transfer Rumours: Addressing their defensive needs, signing Florian Wirtz, and taking BOTH Trent-Alexander Arnold and Mo Salah from Liverpool
48:22|On this episode, Patrick and Ravi discuss the many transfer rumours surrounding Real Madrid. They start with Centre backs, and look at options for both established players and rising young stars. Next, they look at options for right back. Could they promote a youngster from their academy? The conversation moves to Florian Wirtz, who has been linked to Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, and Manchester City. Finally, they end the podcast by discussing if Madrid can take Trent Alexander-Arnold AND Mo Salah from Liverpool, whether any of these transfers solve their Mbappe problem, and if Vinicius will be sold in the coming years. Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribeJoin Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgradeFollow us on our Socials:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1QX: https://x.com/TheTransferFlowBluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.socialInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcastTimestamps: 00:00 - Intro01:47 - Pressing Concern at Centreback for Real Madrid02:10 - Madrid’s current options at CB03:43 - Is there an obvious profile for them?05:03 - Hard to find solutions in January05:31 - Tchouaméni at CB?06:04 - 2 groups of candidates we’re hearing08:28 - Real Madrid won’t throw away this season + how they should approach it09:35 - Jonathan Tah from Leverkusen11:28 - Tah plays for Xabi Alonso, who is rumoured to be at Madrid next season11:49 - Aymeric Laporte13:27 - Mario Hermoso14:38 - The information we don’t have15:24 - The most likely option out of these 316:18 - The younger players Real Madrid could be looking at16:42 - Vitor Reis from Palmeiras18:22 - A recruiters perspective of a young prospect20:19 - Madrid’s Brazilian players could make the move easier for Reis21:51 - Castello Lukeba from RB Leipzig25:13 - Murillo from Nottingham Forest28:04 - Does Madrid’s current squad push you to a more established player?29:23 - Tah’s Leverkusen defensive partner, Piero Hincapié31:19 - Options for right back?31:27 - Could Madrid address this through their academy, or is it a response to Barcelona’s success?31:52 - Asencio as an option33:16 - Jesus Fortea34:02 - Do Madrid need to improve their Academy strategy, or is it inevitable with how they handle transfers?37:17 - Florian Wirtz linked with Madrid, Bayern and Man City38:29 - Not a great fit for Madrid39:11 - Guler linked to Arsenal42:11 - Wirtz makes more sense for Bayern42:47 - Could Madrid take Trent Alexander-Arnold AND Mo Salah from Liverpool?43:44 - Madrid would have to sell Rodrygo44:37 - None of this solves their Mbappe Problem46:14 - Could Madrid be forced to sell Vinicius?#realmadrid #transfernews #mbappe #vinicius #rodrygo #ardagüler #wirtz #laliga #championsleague #madridEpisode 43 - A GOOD Rodri replacement could cost £100m, Man United and Chelsea Rumors, and will Gyokeres finally make a move?
44:12|On this episode, Ted and Patrick dive into transfer rumours ahead of the January window. They start with Joshua Zirkzee, who may already be on the move from United. Then comes Victor Gyokeres, is his agent keeping is name in the news or will he finally make a move? Next up is Jeremie Frimpong, who has been linked to many huge clubs, including Real Madrid, Manchester City, and Liverpool. Discussion of how Manchester City replaces Rodri follows, with Enzo's name thrown out and a possible £100M fee for Baleba? They finish the episode rounding up the rumours with Nkunku linked with United, Murillo to Real Madrid, Kudus to Arsenal, and Samu Omorodion to Barcelona. Enjoy!Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribeJoin Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgradeFollow us on our Socials:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1QX: https://x.com/TheTransferFlowBluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.socialInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcastTimestamps: 00:00 - Intro01:15 - Joshua Zirkzee to leave United?01:37 - An addition to the podcasts02:05 - Why is Zirkzee in the news again03:37 - Will Amorim keep him?05:21 - Ted’s opinion on what United should do06:33 - Victor Gyokeres’ agent is keeping the coals hot08:52 - Ted’s story about previous transfers he 11:41 - Jeremie Frimpong linked to Madrid,Liverpool, and City12:29 - Everything depends on Trent Alexander-Arnold13:33 - How Frimpong fits at City and Real Madrid16:40 - Salah and Trent to Real Madrid?17:53 - Xabi Alonso rumoured to Real Madrid next season?19:10 - Will Zubimendi leave Real Sociedad?21:41 - How much would City pay to get Baleba? + Enzo Fernandez?22:41 - £100m to £150m for Baleba???23:34 - Enzo is a good option, but is not fit enough25:29 - Nkunku linked with United26:57 - Chelsea would like to pay off their remaining transfer fee for Nkunku28:32 - Would Chelsea sell him to United?28:32 - Forest CB Murillo linked with Real Madrid?29:54 - Mohammed Kudus linked to Arsenal31:13 - Kudus is versatile, but what is he worth?33:57 - Kudus would fit great at United35:10 - Samu Omorodion linked with Barcelona38:37 - How a data analyst handles incomplete information39:34 - Ricardo Pepi looking to move from PSV?41:11 - Pepi’s history of insanity#manchesterunited #manchestercity #realmadrid #chelsea #arsenal #transfernews #premierleague #epl #rodri #gyokeres #salah #football #soccerEpisode 42 - Man City Are Old and Slow, The INSANE Serie A Title Race, and Arsenal vs. Chelsea Breakdown
43:47|On this episode, Ted and Patrick discuss Man City losing their fourth game in a row — is it all down to injuries, or do they have bigger issues in the squad? Next, they break down Arsenal vs. Chelsea, who played to a 1-1 draw over the weekend. They dive into Arsenal’s struggles in attack, Maresca’s impact at Chelsea, and Martin Ødegaard’s return from injury. Finally, they analyze the chaos of the Serie A title race, where just two points separate the top six teams. Who are the title favorites, and who should you be rooting for? Enjoy!Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribeJoin Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgradeFollow us on our Socials:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1QX: https://x.com/TheTransferFlowInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcastTimestamps:00:00 - Intro01:04 - Man City lose AGAIN02:04 - A different Man City vs. years past02:21 - Man City injuries + squad age03:01 - Brighton’s adjustments won them the game04:45 - City’s old midfield05:56 - Brighton’s next 9-figure player?07:19 - City have young players, but not centrally07:46 - Can City fix this in January? Or will it cost them the title09:22 - Liverpool’s youth players are playing well10:28 - City can’t let their stars play the whole time11:10 - Creating chances despite losing11:38 - Nobody has full control this season + Villa vs. Liverpool12:57 - Teams will drop lots of points this season15:33 - Man City/Liverpool title odds18:32 - English teams in the Champions League19:24 - Arsenal vs. Chelsea19:39 - Odegaard minutes + called up for Norway again20:23 - Game breakdown22:36 - How do Arsenal start attacking again23:51 - Maresca’s influence + Chelsea in a tight table position26:07 - Caicedo + a shaky defense27:21 - Chelsea are bad at set piece execution28:46 - The crazy Serie A title race29:37 - The most entertaining league in the world (except for Juve)?30:03 - Conte and Napoli + Other good coaches in Serie A31:21 - 8 teams with a positive xG difference32:03 - Fiorentina are coming from nowhere + Napoli/Juve bad attacking numbers33:22- Atalanta are the best attacking team + Sarri/Lazio34:56 - Napoli are not taking enough shots in big games35:31 - We liked Juve’s transfer window37:30 - Which teams should you root for? + Zlatan overseeing things at AC Milan38:45 - Lampard or Mancini to manage Roma?39:51 - Newcastle dominate Forest#manchestercity #seriea #premierleague #arsenal #chelsea #liverpool #manchesterunited #newcastle #napoli #juventus #intermilan #acmilan #football #soccerEpisode 41 - Why are Real Madrid and Man City STRUGGLING + Who Replaces Edu Gaspar at Arsenal?
01:04:48|On this episode, Patrick and Ravi start by discussing Edu Gaspar leaving Arsenal. What should Arsenal look for in their next sporting director, what names are on the list, and how does Arteta factor into the equation? Next they move to Manchester City’s 4-1 loss to Ruben Amorim’s Sporting CP, Victor Gyokeres’ performance, and City’s dependence on Erling Haaland to score goals. Lastly, they cover Real Madrid losing another game at home, this time a 3-1 defeat to AC Milan. Do Madrid have a politics problem with their lineups, should Endrick and Arda Guler get more minutes, and will Carlo Ancelotti be the manager next season? Enjoy!Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribeJoin Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgradeFollow us on our Socials:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1QX: https://x.com/TheTransferFlowInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcastTimestamps:00:01:11 - Edu Gaspar Leaves Arsenal00:01:47 - How big a change is a move like this behind the scenes?00:04:37 - Jason Ayto to become Interim Sporting Director00:06:28 - Difficulty finding a Sporting Director at a top team + Edu’s transfer record00:10:46 - How do Arsenal go about finding a replacement?00:12:57 - You need someone who is comfortable with disagreements00:15:59 - Who are the candidates on the shortlist?00:17:12 - Julian Ward + Txiki Begiristain00:18:49 - Monchi00:19:58 - Paul Mitchell00:20:21 - Arsene Wenger??00:21:29 - Roberto Olabe00:24:03 - Personality might be the biggest part of this hire (to stand up to/mesh with Arteta)00:25:31 - Phil Giles00:26:14 - How long will Arteta stay at Arsenal?00:29:11 - Ruben Amorim and Sporting defeat Man City00:30:33 - Viktor Gyökeres performance + will he be in the Premier League soon?00:32:22 - Sporting did not play their usual style00:33:45 - City had problems trying to breakdown Sporting’s defense00:35:24 - Injuries hurting City + KDB returning00:38:19 - Overreliance on Haaland + lack of attacking creativity00:42:37 - How can Brighton take advantage of City’s bad form?00:45:59 - Weird Medical remedies over the years00:47:49 - Real Madrid lose at home to Milan00:48:56 - Did the Ballon d’or debacle hurt Madrid?00:53:57 - Lucas Vasquez vs Rafael Leao + lack of balance in attack00:54:44 - No Endrick or Guler used as subs00:56:14 - Madrid have a problem with “sacred cows”00:57:28 - Will Ancelotti be Madrid’s manager next season? + Camavinga must start01:00:57 - Endrick and Guler lacking minutes01:02:23 - Will Madrid look to buy Joshua Kimmich?01:03:35 - Ravi = Neo?Episode 40 - Are Liverpool New Title Favorites, Manchester United Got LUCKY vs. Chelsea, and Tottenham vs. Aston Villa Reactions
45:29|In this episode, Patrick and Ted break down the games from this past weekend. They start at the top of the table, with Arsenal and Manchester City faltering, leaving Liverpool 2 points in the lead. They discuss whether Liverpool can maintain their lead with a tough upcoming schedule, if City can rebound despite their injuries, and whether Arsenal are already out of the title race. Next, they talk about Manchester United's lucky 1-1 draw with Chelsea and how they managed to escape two possible red cards. Finally, they finish with Tottenham's 4-1 victory over Aston Villa and the difficulty of separating the top 13 teams in the Premier League. Enjoy!Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribeJoin Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgradeFollow us on our Socials:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1QX: https://x.com/TheTransferFlowInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcastTimestamps:00:00 - Intro00:55 - Arsenal,City, and Liverpool over the weekend01:23 - How Brighton setup against Liverpool02:34 - How stressful the Premier League is03:15 - Liverpool weathered the storm then attacked04:37 - How long Liverpool’s squad has been in rotation05:43 - Tough schedule ahead for Liverpool06:21 - Are liverpool favorites or should it still be city?07:41 - City have a ton of injuries and an old squad10:16 - Arsenal’ lack of attacking threat vs. Newcastle11:47 - A bad game for Arsenal and Arteta13:00 - Are managers too conservative with substitutions14:07 - Edu Gaspar leaving Arsenal16:39 - What is the best approach to substitutions?20:25 - Is Arteta taking more power at Arsenal?22:31 - Are Arsenal out of the title race?24:26 - Phil Foden’s added threat for City26:16 - Manchester United vs. Chelsea26:40 - United were lucky to not get red cards (Ugarte/Martinez)30:00 - Defensive breakdowns leading to chances + Why is Robert Sanchez in goal31:24 - The game from a United Perspective32:54 - The game from a Chelsea Perspective + Cole Palmer34:05 - Concern for Chelsea’s defense?36:10 - Tottenham vs. Aston Villa37:21 - How managers give their players breaks during the season38:30 - Villa were unable to contain the match39:16 - Spurs are GOOD?39:24 - Hard to separate teams the top 7 and top 13 teams in the table42:26 - What makes every week exciting in the Premier League44:00 - Serie A is also BANANAS#premierleague #liverpool #manchesterunited #manchestercity #manutd #arsenal #tottenham #chelsea #astonvilla #arteta #colepalmer #philfodenVariance Betting Episode 7 | Why You MUST Wait for Lineups to Bet This Week - EPL Matchday 10 Picks
13:47|Ted Knutson shares his insights for EVERY EPL Matchday 10 game and discusses why you MUST wait for the lineups before betting certain games.Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgradeSubscribe to our FREE newsletter:https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribeFollow us on our Socials:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1QX: https://x.com/TheTransferFlowInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcastTimestamps:00:00 - Intro01:05 - Liverpool vs. Brighton01:48 - Why you must check the lineup before betting this match02:22 - Ipswich vs. Leicester City02:41 - Forest vs. West Ham03:48 - Bournemouth vs. Man City04:44 - Newcastle vs. Arsenal06:13 - Southampton vs. Everton06:36 - Wolves vs. Crystal Palace07:03 - Tottenham vs. Aston Villa09:29 - Manchester United vs. Chelsea11:31 - Fulham vs. BrentfordEpisode 39 - How To Get a Job in Sports Analytics
01:09:05|On this episode, Ted and Ravi answer frequently asked questions about getting started in sports analytics using their extensive knowledge and experience in the industry. They get into how to look for a job, the skills you need, and what to expect once you land a job. If you have more questions you want answered, leave them in the comments down below!Details for Ravi's conference in Houston:https://americansoccerinsights.com/Data Contest/Call for Proposals:https://americansoccerinsights.com/call-for-proposalsSubscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribeJoin Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgradeFollow us on our Socials:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1QX: https://x.com/TheTransferFlowInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcastTimestamps: 00:00:00 - Intro00:01:01 - How do I get started?00:04:46 - What skills do I need?00:21:25 - Where to look for football jobs?00:23:17 - Apart from football clubs, where are some other places I can find data jobs in football?00:26:25 - I want to go into football, but I don't have the data skills - where can I learn them fast?00:35:24 - How can I set myself apart from the crowd?00:46:00 - The pay seems very low - what can I do about it?00:51:10 - What's it look to work for these teams?01:04:52 - What are your biggest takeaways from working in sports?#dataanalytics #analytics #data #football #soccer #sports #sportsanalytics #premierleague #mls #stats