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The Transfer Flow Podcast

Transfer and team analysis, plus interviews with some of the best in the football business.

Latest episode

  • Episode 76 - Predicting the EPL's Champions League Race + Early Transfer Rumours!

    01:01:21|
    On this episode, Patrick and Ted discuss who will claim the Premier League’s remaining champions league spots. Will the table stay it is with Chelsea and Manchester City staying safe, or will Newcastle, Bournemouth, or someone else knock them out? Then, the transfer rumour window is heating up. Patrick fires rumours from the weekend at Ted to see if they are a good idea or bad idea, as well as plausible or straight BS. Enjoy!Ted's Variance Betting update: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/the-insider-scoop-on-variance-betting-march-updateDon't miss Ted and Patrick's new podcast - ManDown: https://www.youtube.com/@ManDown.PodcastSubscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribeJoin Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgradeFollow us on our Socials:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1QX: https://x.com/TheTransferFlowBluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.socialInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcastTimestamps:00:00:00 - Intro00:00:36 - Mandown Podast launch!00:01:47 - The Race for UCL spots in the premier league00:02:30 - Futures bets00:03:30 - Fixture congestion + remaining schedule00:04:51 - Nottingham Forest have been pretty lucky, but are seemingly safe00:06:29 - Why this season has been so weird00:07:56 - 10th place Bournemouth00:10:35 - A good long-shot bet?00:10:56 - Manchester City SHOULD be fine00:11:51 - Haaland is back00:12:13 - Odds to finish in the top 500:13:48 - Are Chelsea in trouble?00:14:10 - DGF explanation00:15:37 - Palmer has been mortal since Christmas00:16:12 - Chelsea’s injury problems00:17:50 - Uptick in possession, but worse results?00:18:41 - Arsenal are the only team of that style that destroys transition00:20:35 - So will Chelsea drop out?00:21:05 - Newcastle and Brighton’s resurgence00:22:10 - Newcastle fans are angry at us00:23:33 - Newcastle’s remaining games00:24:50 - Are Brighton good now?00:27:07 - Danny Welbeck00:27:31 - Brighton’s schedule00:28:26 - Matthew Benham/Tony Bloom rivalry00:30:30 - Aston Villa’s should focus on the Champions League00:31:29 - Poor goal difference and bad underlying numbers00:32:47 - Some Parisian slander00:34:00 - Patrick’s final predictions00:34:40 - Ted’s prediction00:35:31 - Ted’s Red Star story00:40:01 - Early transfer window rumours00:40:39 - Rashford to Villa for 40M?00:42:09 - Why this is a bad idea for Villa00:43:07 - Felix Nmecha to Man United?00:44:01 - Lack of ball progression with Nmecha and Ugarte00:44:17 - Xavi Simons to Liverpool?00:45:26 - Rebuilding bad teams and strengthening good teams 00:45:59 - Adam Wharton to Manchester City for 70M, is it too little money?00:47:10 - Tyler Dibling to Spurs00:49:07 - Good dribbler, but no end product00:49:20 - Angel Gomes to West Ham on a free00:50:10 - Caoimhin Kelleher to Bournemouth?00:53:34- B-roll Conversations

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  • Episode 75 - Barcelona go top of La Liga + Newcastle’s trophy drought is OVER

    48:39|
    On this episode, Ted and Patrick begin by discussing Barcelona's 4-2 comeback victory over Atletico Madrid. What went wrong for Atleti and what does it mean for the La Liga title race? After a quick discussion of Villarreal vs Real Madrid, the conversation switches to Newcastle's 2-0 victory over Liverpool to claim their first trophy in 56 years. How can the Magpies build off this moment? Then, Inter Milan has a firm lead in Serie A, but will Champions League commitments and lack of depth hurt their title aspirations? The episode finishes with Chelsea fans finally seeing the truth and if Como are preparing to spend this summer. Enjoy!Don't miss Ted and Patrick's new podcast - ManDown: https://www.youtube.com/@mandown.podcastSubscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribeJoin Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgradeFollow us on our Socials:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1QX: https://x.com/TheTransferFlowBluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.socialInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast00:00 - Intro00:39 - Ted’s shoutout02:37 - Podcasts as a record of yourself to leave behind03:33 - Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona04:42 - How Atleti exploited Barca’s high line05:56 - Why xG is an imperfect metric07:11 - South American strikers and Wenger08:41 - Lewandowski’s ridiculous finish09:15 - Did an uncalled handball lead to the finish we got?10:00 - Lamine Yamal’s goal and Goalkeepers vs. deflections11:24 - Atleti didn’t deserve the results they got this week12:09 - Villarreal vs Real Madrid13:24 - Even when Real Madrid are off they find a way to win14:15 - La Liga table16:27 - With no UCL, Atleti can focus on the La Liga race18:10 - Raphinha to Man United for £70M?20:04 - Patrick and Ted’s NEW podcast20:47 - Newcastle Win the Leagues Cup and end their trophy drought21:15 - Why was Mac Allister marking Dan Burn?23:55 - How Liverpool uses Salah’s movement before they win the ball back24:52 - Leicester City and Mourinho’s Real Madrid were great at countering from corners26:14 - How Newcastle countered this strategy27:56 - Joelinton’s physicality29:24 - Newcastle are good at frustrating top sides, but are not set up to deal with bad teams every week30:14 - Newcastle will have to do some squad building in the summer31:56 - Inter Milan vs Atalanta and Ederson’s red card33:37 - Inter really didn’t do much until the red card34:07 - Depth a problem with Inter still being in the UCL or is the international break more scary?35:54 - Chelsea fans are finally seeing the truth37:00 - It looked like Chelsea were off to a great start, but the problems are showing now38:04 - Jackson and Palmer can’t ALWAYS save chelsea38:55 - First season with a new manager, give Maresca time to adapt40:32 - Como and Cesc Fabregas41:51 - will Como spend big this summer?43:07 - Will Juventus fire Motta?
  • Episode 74 - How Arsenal can UPSET Real Madrid + UCL Quarterfinal Predictions

    33:59|
    On this episode, Patrick and Hayden break down the action from Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid, PSG vs. Liverpool, Barcelona vs. Benfica, and Dortmund vs. Lille and look ahead to the quarterfinal matchups. Can Arsenal defeat Real Madrid, will Dortmund upset Barcelona, and who will prevail in Bayern Munich vs Inter Milan? The episode ends with predictions for the next UCL round. Enjoy!Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribeJoin Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgradeFollow us on our Socials:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1QX: https://x.com/TheTransferFlowBluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.socialInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast00:00 - Intro00:33 - New UCL Format + a great 2 days of games01:14 - PSG shock Liverpool02:52 - Did Slot’s gameplan make sense?03:26 - Luis Enrique’s tactics and Dembele04:33 - Donarumma was VULNERABLE early05:42 - If you can weather PSG’s storm they drop off considerably06:38 - How PSG’s “micro-midfield” ran the game07:43 - How does PSG stack up against Aston Villa?10:01 - Luis Enrique is an excellent problem solver11:09 - Real Madrid SURVIVE Atletico Madrid12:05 - Modric and Bellingham did not have a geat game 14:22 - Real Madrid need someone other than Vinicius and Mbappe to unlock defenses15:10 - What will Arsenal’s gameplan be?17:04 - If Saka is back, how will Arsenal set up?18:56 - Saka’s gravity and two-footedness20:16 - Barcelona vs Dortmund20:41 - Lille scored “too quickly” against Dortmund21:38 - Barcelona will NOT allow Dortmund to have the ball and attack all game22:03 - Raphinha is in ridiculous form + Barcelona matchup perfectly against Dortmund23:29 - Barcelona can score their way out of trouble24:46 - Lewandowski might be declining, but he’s what Barcelona need26:10 - Bayern Munich vs. Inter Milan26:41 - Will Bayern break down Inter, or will Inter be able to counterattack?27:34 - The biggest game of Vincent Kompany’s managerial career29:15 - Does each club's domestic title race impact this matchup?31:01 - UCL Quarterfinals predictions
  • Episode 73 - Arsenal’s NEW hire makes sense + Why fitness coaches WIN you TROPHIES

    37:23|
    On this episode, Patrick and Ted discuss how the numbers may have lied about the first leg of PSG vs. LIverpool and what they mean for the 2nd leg. Then, Arsenal have hired Andrea Berta to be their next director of football. Who is he, what does he need to do, and how should Arsenal fans feel about the hire? Next, a quick look at games from the Bundesliga over the weekend and a discussion on how fitness professionals can impact teams the most. The episode ends with a look at Claudio Ranieri’s Roma team, Inter Milan being a good longshot for the UCL, the Serie A table, and Arsenal vs. Manchester United. Enjoy!Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribeJoin Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgradeFollow us on our Socials:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1QX: https://x.com/TheTransferFlowBluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.socialInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcastTimestamps:00:00 - Intro01:22 - PSG vs Liverpool01:59 - Stats from the game03:22 - 1st half vs 2nd half05:01 - PSG were much more open in the 2nd half06:08 - How does this line up for the 2nd leg?06:59 - You can’t just “be more defensive”08:25 - PSG needs to allow their creativity to create chances, not pound shots11:09 - A look at the Champions League matches12:23 - Arsenal hire Andrea Berta as director of football13:16 - How the media handle these things and Raul Senllehi16:03 - Arsenal have a clear idea of what they need to do17:07 - Why the Berta hire makes sense19:21 - Saka coming back for Arsenal, will he be cautious or come back at full speed?21:02 -Stability with Arteta should make Arsenal fans feel confident22:05 - A quick look at the bundesliga - Why were they running so much?23:33 - Bayern’s PPDA were crazy even with 10 men25:05 - Sprint management26:20 - FItness people being on the same page as coaches26:45 - How fitness coaches can give teams absurd value27:51 - We’re hiring!28:48 - Rainieri and Roma30:13 - Napoli are in a rough stretch30:39 - Inter a sharp bet to win the UCL?32:22 - The Italian table33:51 - We’ll talk the top 5 race in England next week35:04 - Raya was UNBELIEVEABLE for Arsenal v. Manchester United
  • Episode 72 - How Real Madrid OUTSMARTED Atletico + Arsenal BATTER PSV

    47:37|
    On this episode, Patrick and Neel take a look at the Champions league Games from Tuesday, focusing on Real Madrid's 2-1 win over Atletico Madrid and Arsenal's 7-1 BATTERING of PSV. How did Real Madrid get the advantage and what can Atletico do to win in the 2nd leg? Why did Arteta decide to play such attacking football? Plus two players you NEED to watch Wednesday, Vangelis Pavlidis and Igor Paixão. Enjoy!Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribeJoin Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgradeFollow us on our Socials:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1QX: https://x.com/TheTransferFlowBluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.socialInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcastTimestamps:00:00 - Intro01:03 - Real Madrid Defeat Atletico Madrid, 2-101:51 - Individual efforts were the story of the game02:56 - Real Madrid and Ancelotti are breaking the mold of top teams05:31 - If not for Alvarez, Atletico would have produced very little07:05 - Real Madrid dropping their defensive line07:51 - Luka Modric’s introduction to the game08:53 - Atletico are good are breaching high lines10:25 - Atletico’s defense was shocking on the second goal12:27 - Atletico can shop for defensive centerbacks that other big teams wouldn’t go for14:14 - How can Real Madrid be exploited in the 2nd leg?17:28 - Arsenal BATTER PSV17:55 - Why no haramball from Arteta?19:12 - Arsenal beat PSV at their own game20:16 - Was the scoreline a bit harsh?21:54 - Benitez had a horrible game23:33 - Dortmund vs Lille was definitely a game of football23:44 - Club Brugge vs Aston Villa and pure haramball from Emery24:51 - The last goal makes it REALLY hard for Club Brugge to comeback, but they’ve had a great campaign25:36 - Brugge’s young talent28:22 - PLEASE watch the Madrid derby next week instead of Villa v Brugge29:05 - Pavlidis has been on a TEAR for Benfica30:05 - He’s 3rd in the UCL in non-penalty expected goals31:23 - His movement is what sets him appart33:33 - Benfica have made some interesting Striker signings38:30 - Pavlidis’ left foot39:56 - Igor Paixao is a player to watch Wednesday for Feyenoord41:41 - Paixao’s shot map and decision making42:30 - Inter have defensive problems43:09 - Will he leave the Eredevisie?44:21 - Premier League fit + Playing with Yankuba Minteh45:15 - Paixao is dynamic, but lacking in the final third
  • Episode 71 - UCL Round of 16 Preview: Madrid Derby, PSG v Liverpool and EVERY other matchup!

    53:14|
    On this episode, Ted and Patrick break down every matchup in the Champions League Round of 16. Will Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid, PSG vs. Liverpool, and Benfica vs. Barcelona be the standout matches of the round, or will we see a surprise result? Enjoy!Ted's article on recruitment from Monday: https://www.thetransferflow.com/p/what-recruitment-teams-are-doing-right-nowSubscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribeJoin Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgradeFollow us on our Socials:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1QX: https://x.com/TheTransferFlowBluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.socialInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcastTimestamps:00:00 - Intro01:14 - Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid02:19 - Was Modric starting vs Betis the right call?03:01 - Isco’s performance and history05:29 - Atletico are looking great07:01 - Julian Alvarez’ insane form08:17 - How will Real Madrid beat Atletico’s defense?10:23 - La Liga standings are crazy right now10:46 - PSV vs Arsenal and Arteta’s Haramball12:19 - Liverpool vs PSG and Dembele’s form13:15 - Liverpool’s physicality + PSG’s attack15:24 - Gamblers thoughts on the game15:57 - Salah vs PSG’s defense17:34 - Luis Enrique vs Arne Slot?17:57 - Benfica Barcelona18:43 - Dortmund vs Lille tangent19:14 - Barcelona’s recent form and Benfica won’t make it easy19:56 - Club Brugge vs Aston Villa21:38 - Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen22:20 - Will Leverkusen beat Bayern AGAIN?24:08 - You can’t judge teams now based on their early season form24:42 - Bayern withdraw Kimmich contract offer + Next team and replacements26:03 - Finding valuable archetypes28:31 - Feyenoord vs Inter Milan and Inter v Napoli29:02 - Inter stopped attacking31:05 - Hope for Feyenoord? No, look at their injury list33:37 - An exciting round of fixtures34:05 - Patrick’s disclaimer35:06 - Ted and Patrick’s new venture36:10 - B-Roll36:15 - Watching 4 games at once and being cool in school37:23 - Commentators having no clue what they’re talking about39:59 - Cristiano Ronaldo Free-kick perception vs Lionel Messi’s40:48 - Ted and Patrick’s beef with Journalists42:39 - Patrick goes off44:32 - Ted’s story time from his time working in football49:41 - Ted’s (almost) time at Lyon51:07 - Ridiculed for leaning on a goalpost52:36 - Patrick’s realization and more honesty from him
  • Episode 70 - Man United making HUGE cuts + Who's getting promoted to EPL?

    42:52|
    On this episode, Patrick and Hayden discuss the Championship playoff race. Leeds seem poised to take the top spot, but who will get the second automatic promotion seed and who will make the playoffs? Then, Manchester United have fired MORE staff and cut back on their canteen under INEOS and Jim Ratcliffe. Why would they do this, how does this impact the staff, and what do they need to do going forward? The episode ends with each host sharing a player that you NEED to watch as the season comes to a close. Enjoy!Our episode with NTT20 to start the season: https://youtu.be/_LymoQM0MvE?feature=sharedSubscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribeJoin Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgradeFollow us on our Socials:YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1QX: https://x.com/TheTransferFlowBluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.socialInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcastTimestamps:00:00 - Intro00:51 - The Championship playoff race01:51 - Burnley’s defense and Leeds’ attack03:06 - Promoted teams having to reinvent themselves03:58 - Burnley’s retooling and a bet with J.J. Watt05:17 - The race for second06:20 - Spots 3-6 are WIDE open07:42 - Hope for Middlesbrough?09:52 - Frank Lampard and Coventry12:31 - Lampard didn’t revolutionize much, but brought what the team needed14:19 - Predicting the top 6 that will make the playoffs17:11 - Patrick’s predictions18:24 - Manchester United cutting 200 more jobs + food options20:19 - Why teams have meals for their staff21:58 - Why would United make these cuts?23:46 - United don’t need someone to develop a culture of excellence25:34 - United’s commitment to Amorim27:06 - United still have players coming into the first team despite their troubles27:47 - 2 Players you should be watching29:14 - Jorthy Mokio31:04 - Who does Mokio compare to?32:43 - Ajax is a good place for him to develop34:12 - Patrick’s player - Emanuel Emegha35:44 - Benefiting from a weak league?37:13 - Emegha’s ability to use both feet38:14 - Comparison to Dembele’s ability and recent form38:59 - The traditional number 9 is making a comeback40:43 - Is he someone to take a chance on this summer?#manchesterunited #manutd #premierleague #efl #eflchampionship #leedsunited #sheffieldunited #burnley #coventry #football #soccer