The Investment Perspective, with Ninety One

The Strait of Hormuz closure has rattled global energy markets, but South Africa is weathering the shock better than many expected. Ruen Naidu explains what the Moody's outlook upgrade signals, why the rand has held up, and how long South Africa can absorb persistently elevated oil prices.

A supply shock has shifted the inflation picture, and the SARB's next move matters. Adam Furlan discusses the case for early action, the risk of second-round effects, and why Ninety One remains cautious on duration at the front end of the curve.

Markets are more concentrated than ever, and that changes the equation for investors. Siobhan Simpson uncovers the risks beneath the surface of major indices, from the Magnificent Seven to precious metals dominating the JSE, and explains why these conditions may be creating some of the most compelling opportunities for active management in years.

With the Strait of Hormuz blockaded and global oil inventories drawing down fast, the oil market is approaching a critical inflection point. Paul Gooden cuts through the geopolitical noise to explain the supply-and-demand dynamics at play, what the numbers actually mean for oil prices, and why equity investors are more cautious than you might expect.

The battle between the White House and the world's most powerful central bank isn't just political theatre. It has real consequences for markets, inflation, and the credibility of independent monetary policy. Ruen Naidu explains what Kevin Warsh's appointment as Fed chair really means, and why the outcome matters far beyond Washington.

The US 30-year bond yield has broken through 5%. That might sound like a technicality, until you understand what it means for every other asset class on the planet. John Stopford unpacks why yields are on the move, what a flattening curve signals for growth, whether equity valuations can hold and why he is selling into strength.