Ninety One | The Big Picture

If polls are to be believed, the 14-year tenure of the UK’s Conservative Party is about to end. Change is often greeted with trepidation by society, business and markets. However, in this case the UK has displayed stability, especially relative to some of its European peers. Matt Evans examines the mood and the potential market moves after July 4th, Election Day.

We have grown used to 'higher for longer', but the winds of change have now seemingly started to blow in the corridors of monetary policy power. Sweden and Switzerland have cut, and Canada followed suit. All eyes were on the ECB, and it did not disappoint, cutting rates by 25 basis points. Christine Lagarde was still guarded, however, and did not commit to further falls. John Stopford analyses the implications.

Investment analysts frequently ignore culture and inclusion, focusing exclusively on companies’ financial statements. Yet the ‘human factor’ is often among the key drivers of corporate performance, and ultimately of shareholder returns. Professor Alex Edmans talks with Ninety One’s Stephanie Niven and Miles Hamilton about how to leverage research into culture and inclusion into better investment decisions. They also discuss their joint work to develop a practical framework for incorporating culture insights into investment analysis.

Juliana Hansveden and Yuxin Lin from the Sustainable Equity team recently travelled to China and Korea to meet existing and prospective portfolio companies. They discuss the insights gained from the trip and detail how they’re capturing the structural growth opportunities.

Portfolio Manager Stephanie Niven and analyst Sam Anthony discuss the importance of biodiversity and how they think about it from an investment perspective.

India offers an exciting decarbonisation growth opportunity, but it is also fast becoming the most populous country in the world. With that comes both risks and opportunities for investors. Portfolio Manager Graeme Baker is joined by Ninety One analyst Arita Sehgal and London School of Economics Professor in Practice Nick Robins to unpack this topic. They look at India’s impact on the world’s transition to net zero and what a just transition looks like for the country.

After the recent optimism of market participants that sent US markets to record highs and bond yields tumbling, the mood has changed. Bond yields have risen sharply and frothy equities are well off their highs as inflation has proved stubbornly high. John Stopford analyses the data in the US and beyond. 

A new capex supercycle is forecast to shape the next decade, driven by a fusion of factors. Join strategist Sahil Mahtani as he delves into the historical backdrop, identifies key drivers, and explains what it means for investors.