Share

cover art for 2024 election special part 2

British General Elections podcast

2024 election special part 2

Season 99, Ep. 2

This episodes discusses what the polls are saying, but also why they can be different and explains some of the pitfalls in assessing the mood of the country accurately. I also explain what we mean by MRP-poll. I explain why the evidence points to a better votes to seats outcome to Labour than at previous elections and explain briefly what could happen in the increasingly unlikely event of a hung parliament, and add why that [again] favours Labour.

More episodes

View all episodes

  • 3. 1951 Opening manoeuvres of the election

    26:20||Season 3, Ep. 3
    The public are mostly concerned with the King's Health. The situation in Persia remains difficult, the stock market rallies on hopes the Conservatives are going to win
  • 2. 1951 Election part 2

    37:00||Season 3, Ep. 2
    Attlee calls an early election as George VI has a lung removed.
  • 5. Election 2024 special - final day

    39:19||Season 99, Ep. 5
    I go through the final polls, timings for the exit poll and counts, what is the exit poll etc and a word on Scotland and Wales
  • 4. 2024 Election special part 4

    30:14||Season 99, Ep. 4
    The electorate still not really looking at Labour's policies, I discuss the latest polling data and what it means, and a few words on the ground campaign
  • 3. 2024 election special part 3

    40:50||Season 99, Ep. 3
     I do a quick state of the race update, explain why the Conservatives and Lib Dems may do better than Reform on a similar or lower vote share and then look at candidate effects including so called incumbency advantage.
  • 1. 2024 Election special

    56:19||Season 99, Ep. 1
    I talk about the fundamentals of the 2024 election - why the Conservatives have such a mountain to climb. The importance of ratings on the economy and the rating of the PM on the election outcome.
  • 1. 1951 Election Part 1

    52:27||Season 3, Ep. 1
    This episode goes through the events of the 1950/51 Parliament, ECHR signing, Bevan resignation, death of Bevin and loss of Cripps, by elections and Persia issue
  • 7. 1950 Election Part 7

    44:37||Season 2, Ep. 7
    Swings throughout the country, bias in the election and a brief discussion about the consequences of the election