British General Elections podcast

Attlee calls an early election as George VI has a lung removed.

I go through the final polls, timings for the exit poll and counts, what is the exit poll etc and a word on Scotland and Wales

The electorate still not really looking at Labour's policies, I discuss the latest polling data and what it means, and a few words on the ground campaign

 I do a quick state of the race update, explain why the Conservatives and Lib Dems may do better than Reform on a similar or lower vote share and then look at candidate effects including so called incumbency advantage.

This episodes discusses what the polls are saying, but also why they can be different and explains some of the pitfalls in assessing the mood of the country accurately. I also explain what we mean by MRP-poll. I explain why the evidence points to a better votes to seats outcome to Labour than at previous elections and explain briefly what could happen in the increasingly unlikely event of a hung parliament, and add why that [again] favours Labour.

I talk about the fundamentals of the 2024 election - why the Conservatives have such a mountain to climb. The importance of ratings on the economy and the rating of the PM on the election outcome.

This episode goes through the events of the 1950/51 Parliament, ECHR signing, Bevan resignation, death of Bevin and loss of Cripps, by elections and Persia issue

Swings throughout the country, bias in the election and a brief discussion about the consequences of the election