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Are US stocks too expensive?
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Ruchir Sharma, an investor and frequent contributor to the FT, came out and said it the other day: The US stock market is in a bubble. But is it a bubble or just the rational behavior of investors who believe the US really is exceptional? Today on the show, Katie Martin and Rob Armstrong discuss the outlandishly good performance of the US market, and ask how long it can last. Also they go long Elon Musk’s pay package and short the transatlantic bug.
For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer
You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com.
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Bonds vs budgets
21:39|Mature economies such as France, the UK and the US are spending more than they take in. They make up the rest in borrowing. But how long can that last? Today on the show, Katie Martin speaks with Ian Smith, the FT’s senior markets correspondent, about the UK’s latest Budget and bond sales, and what it means for governments around the globe. Also they go long chocolate and short cats. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer.You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com
What are the hedge funds shorting?
22:46|Short interest in the market is rising. But what are the big players betting against? And what can investors learn from it? Today on the show, Katie Martin joins the editor of the FT’s Alphaville newsletter Robin Wigglesworth to discuss high finance’s low expectations. Also they go short Bloom Energy and short the crypto bros. To sign up for free to the new FT Alphaville newsletter on substack, go to ftav.substack.com.For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer.You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com
Nvidia's crazy day
23:40|In the morning, Nvidia’s earnings report seemed to have cured the market of its jitters about an artificial intelligence bubble. And then it didn’t. Today on the show, Katie Martin and Rob Armstrong try to figure out if the chipmaker’s numbers are soothing or scary. Also they go long a proposed stimulus cheque and short handbag investment funds. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer.You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com
Big deals in Big Pharma
20:44|The battle between Novo Nordisk and Pfizer to acquire Metsera is over. But is this merger a sign of strength or weakness for the industry? Today on the show, Rob Armstrong talks with US finance editor James Fontanella-Khan about the pressures on drug companies from Washington and the market. Also they go long Nasdaq and short Nasdaq. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer.You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com
Is the K-shaped economy real?
23:16|Companies such as Procter & Gamble and Chipotle say lower-income customers are spending less, while upper-income customers keep splurging. But data from the Federal Reserve and others suggests incomes – and the differences between them – have remained steady. Today on the show, Katie Martin and Rob Armstrong try to understand why and if consumer behaviour is changing. Also, they go long passive investing and short banks checking their own employees’ bank balances. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer.You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com
Is the US an emerging market?
38:26|Today’s show is a live recording from the Kilkenomics Festival in Kilkenny, Ireland. Katie Martin hosts a panel with guests David McWilliams, founder of the festival, and Mark Blyth, professor of political economics at Brown University. From the Home Rule Club in Kilkenny, they ask if the US is starting to behave like an emerging market. Also, they go long sterling and short futuristic cities in the sand. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer.You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com
DIY data
24:32|With the government shut down, US investors are looking for data in different places. Today on the show, Katie Martin and Rob Armstrong discuss home brewed data, and try to figure out what’s really going on in the US economy. Also they go short flying taxis and the UK defaulting. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer.You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com
Is Big Tech spending too much money?
23:18|Tech companies are spending historic amounts of money on computing power and data centres. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Katie Martin talk to Lex editor John Foley to try to understand the computing arms race. Also they go long M&A, short free buses, and long cleanfluencers. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer.You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com
Martin Wolf on the economics of populism
24:23|How does populism affect the long-term health of economies? And is there a difference in outcomes between the extreme politics of the left and the right? Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and the FT’s chief economics commentator Martin Wolf discuss an extensive study on populism and economics. Also, they go long China and short tech companies with no profits.For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer.You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com