Trading Up

The rules-based world order is dead. That is the brutal wake-up call from former Bank of England Governor Mark Carney at Davos. In this episode of Trading Up Unpacked, Jim Fitzpatrick and Richard Ramsey break down Carney’s "Churchillian" analysis of the shifting global economy.They unpack Carney’s argument that international rules have become a "fiction" and explore his strategy of "variable geometry" and how that applies to the UK, Europe and even Northern Ireland.Key topics include:The Lie of the Old Order: Why economic integration has become a weapon rather than a mutual benefit.At the Table or On the Menu: The urgent need for middle powers (UK, Canada, Japan) to forge a "Third Path" or submit to hegemons.The End of the Peace Dividend: The difficult trade-offs facing Europe between funding welfare and increasing defense spending.The Globalisation Trilemma: Applying Dani Rodrik’s theory on why you cannot have globalisation, sovereignty, and democracy all at once but can have only two of the three.

Join Jim Fitzpatrick as he interviews Paul and Clare Vallely, the brother-sister duo behind Kukoon. Learn how they scaled a rug business from local market stalls to a £20 million turnover global brand. This episode dives deep into the realities of modern e-commerce, exploring the shift from eBay to building an independent brand amidst the high marketing costs of Google and Amazon. Discover essential insights on successful rebranding, the surprising value of physical retail stores for building trust, implementing advisory boards to navigate business crises, and taking a stand on humanitarian issues.

Jim Fitzpatrick and Richard Ramsey explore the shifting dynamics of Northern Ireland’s economy with employment falling and economic inactivity hitting a new grim record high. They examine the political deadlock over Stormont's multi-year budget and the impossibility of proper government in its absence. Turning to car sales for some insight, they discuss why Tesla sales have more than doubled in NI despite a European decline, while Chinese giant BYD has seen fivefold growth. Globally, the discussion turns to "Regime Roulette," analysing the US incursion into Venezuela for its vast oil reserves and Jerome Powell's high-stakes stand for Federal Reserve independence against the Trump administration. The Fed may seem far away, but its independence is a vital pillar of the global economy. The duo provide their usual critical insights into the intersection of global headwinds and local consequences.

Join host Jim Fitzpatrick on Trading Up as he welcomes Claire Murray, Head of Development and Marketing at the Lyric Theatre, to deconstruct the "business" of show business. Claire discusses her transition from the high-stakes world of FMCG marketing at Coca-Cola and Heineken to steering the financial and creative success of Northern Ireland’s premier self-producing theatre.Celebrating the Lyric's 75-year history, this episode explores how corporate strategy can sustain cultural institutions. Claire details her implementation of flexible pricing models that significantly boosted ticket yield and the theatre's vital earned income, which now accounts for two-thirds of its turnover. Beyond the stage, the discussion highlights the arts as an economic engine, using "soft power" to attract inward investment and enrich the civic life of Belfast and Northern Ireland. This is an essential listen for anyone interested in marketing, entrepreneurship, and the symbiotic relationship between culture and commerce.Just as a master welder in the Lyric's scene shop carefully joins steel to build a set, this episode illustrates how Claire Murray fuses corporate marketing with artistic vision to build a sustainable future for this vital cultural institution.DisclaimerBrought to you in association with EY. The views and opinions expressed by guests on this podcast are their own and do not reflect the views or positions of EY or its other member Firms. EY proudly sponsors the Trading Up podcast but does not endorse or take responsibility for any statements made by individual guests. The Trading Up podcast is for informational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute professional advice.

In this special holiday edition of Trading Up Unpacked, Jim Fitzpatrick and Professor Richard Ramsey dive deep into the pressing economic questions facing Northern Ireland. They tackle the controversial "grant culture" and the "perverse incentives" that have shaped the region since the days of Delorean, arguing for a shift toward competition and tax-based incentives. Jim and Richard explore the "fiscal deficit attention disorder" affecting public services and propose a radical solution: moving the government out of Stormont to reconnect with the people. For business owners, the episode provides essential insights into succession planning, highlighting the Almac trust model and the evolving landscape of Employee Ownership Trusts. Finally, they debate the missed opportunities in the recent licensing review and the need for a more competitive hospitality sector. Whether you are a policymaker or an entrepreneur, this episode offers a masterclass in navigating Northern Ireland’s unique business environment.DisclaimerBrought to you in association with EY. The views and opinions expressed by guests on this podcast are their own and do not reflect the views or positions of EY or its other member Firms. EY proudly sponsors the Trading Up podcast but does not endorse or take responsibility for any statements made by individual guests. The Trading Up podcast is for informational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute professional advice.

How does a local hospitality group thrive while the wider sector faces "lights out" financial pressures?. In this episode of Trading Up, Galgorm Collection CFO Tiarnán O’Neill reveals the strategy driving the group’s £70 million turnover and remarkable 94% occupancy rates. He discusses Galgorm’s rapid expansion through acquisitions like The Rabbit and Roe Valley Resort, alongside their ambitious project to build Northern Ireland's first new links golf course in over a century.Drawing on his unique career—from PWC to modernising the Diocese of Down and Connor’s 400-year-old financial structure—O’Neill provides a masterclass in scaling luxury hospitality. He addresses critical challenges, including VAT disparities and National Insurance hikes, while outlining an ambitious 10-year vision for growth.DisclaimerBrought to you in association with EY. The views and opinions expressed by guests on this podcast are their own and do not reflect the views or positions of EY or its other member Firms. EY proudly sponsors the Trading Up podcast but does not endorse or take responsibility for any statements made by individual guests. The Trading Up podcast is for informational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute professional advice.

Trevor Magill is the Northern Ireland Managing Director of the Musgrave Group, one of Ireland's biggest and longest-established family businesses. It's a huge retail, wholesale, and food service business, servicing around 7 million customers weekly and boasting a turnover exceeding €5 billion.As the company approaches its 150th anniversary, Trevor and Jim delve into how this seventh-generation family business has thrived in the competitive, fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector.A cornerstone of their success is the unique independent retail partnership model used for brands like SuperValu, Centra, and Mace across Northern Ireland. McIll explains that this partnership allows independent owners to support their local communities and ensures the company avoids becoming "far too corporate".The discussion covers strategic evolutions, including the development of market-leading private brands like Frank and Honest coffee and the continuous focus on value and convenience for the modern consumer. He also highlights the importance of sourcing 70-75% of their range on the island and details the group's long-term commitment to community initiatives, such as its 25-year relationship with Action Cancer. He shares personal career lessons, emphasising the necessity of strong people, core values, and fulfilling commitments in business.Brought to you in association with EY.The views and opinions expressed by guests on this podcast are their own and do not reflect the views or positions of EY or its other member Firms. EY proudly sponsors the Trading Up podcast but does not endorse or take responsibility for any statements made by individual guests. The Trading Up podcast is for informational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute professional advice.

This episode of Trading Up Unpacked digs deep into the controversial "Spend Now, Pay Later" Budget, described as the "Klarna" budget, focusing on increased spending and backloaded taxation. Jim Fitzpatrick and Richard Ramsey explore the fiscal strategy of freezing tax thresholds, which functions as a hefty stealth tax, dragging more people into higher payment bands. Economists criticised the measures, noting that the OBR stated none of the proposals would have a material impact on economic growth.We discuss how complex tax "cliff edges," such as the punishing 62% marginal tax rate faced by some earning over £100,000, serve as a "tax on ambition," disincentivising work and career progression. This environment may fuel a concerning demographic trend: net emigration. Over 109,000 more UK citizens left the country than arrived, three-quarters of whom were under the age of 35.The conversation turns to the Northern Ireland housing crisis, where residential property prices have surged by 45% since 2020, yet house building levels remain critically low. We examine how the "no water charges" policy, while politically popular, starves infrastructure of funding, contributing to the severe housing shortage and exploding private sector rents. Finally, we analyse Northern Ireland's peculiar and antiquated licensing laws, highlighting anti-competitive behaviour and how it creates strange outcomes such as the bizarre case of a new Lidl supermarket in Dundonald that's opening an on-site pub.Brought to you in association with EY.The views and opinions expressed by guests on this podcast are their own and do not reflect the views or positions of EY or its other member Firms. EY proudly sponsors the Trading Up podcast but does not endorse or take responsibility for any statements made by individual guests. The Trading Up podcast is for informational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute professional advice.