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The Underdog World Cup Show
France Moves Past Morocco & Spain-Belgium Preview
On this episode of The Underdog World Cup Show, Chris Horwedel recaps France’s 2-0 win over Morocco in the World Cup quarterfinals and previews Spain vs. Belgium for the next semifinal spot. The show opens with France advancing in Boston behind second-half goals from Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé. Mbappé had a first-half penalty saved by Yassine Bounou, but responded by scoring the opener and later setting up Dembélé for the second goal.
Chris breaks down how France controlled the match despite Morocco having slightly more possession, with Les Bleus finishing with 22 shots, 9 on target, and nearly 3 expected goals while holding Morocco to almost nothing in attack. Mbappé now has 8 goals in the tournament, tied with Lionel Messi in the Golden Boot race, and Michael Olise leads the World Cup with 5 assists. France now waits for the winner of Spain vs. Belgium, with Didier Deschamps’ team looking like the tournament favorite.
For Morocco, the quarterfinal exit still caps another major World Cup run after reaching the semifinals in 2022. Chris notes the impact of Ismael Saibari’s absence, Brahim Díaz being isolated, Achraf Hakimi’s limited influence, and France’s ability to keep the match from becoming chaotic.
The episode then previews Spain vs. Belgium in Los Angeles, using odds from oddsmakers to frame the matchup. Spain enters with 5 wins and 5 clean sheets, led by a defense trying to match the standard of the 2010 World Cup-winning Spanish team. Mikel Oyarzabal leads Spain with 4 tournament goals, while Lamine Yamal continues to stretch defenses and create space for Nico Williams and Dani Olmo.
Belgium brings the tournament’s second-highest scoring attack with 13 goals, led by the late-game impact of Romelu Lukaku, the creativity of Kevin De Bruyne, and wide threats like Jérémy Doku and Leandro Trossard. Chris highlights Belgium’s midfield concerns without Amadou Onana, the tactical challenge of pressing Pedri and Rodri, and why Yamal’s shot-volume market reflects how much pressure Belgium may face.
The show closes with a look at World Cup futures, including France, Spain, Argentina, and England in the title race, plus Golden Ball and Golden Boot markets led by Mbappé, Messi, Erling Haaland, and Harry Kane.
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Spain Wins the 2026 World Cup
08:09|On this final episode of The 2026 Underdog World Cup Show series, Chris Horwedel recaps Spain’s 1-0 extra-time victory over defending champion Argentina in the 2026 World Cup final and looks back at the performances, tactical decisions and individual awards that defined the tournament.The show opens in New York–New Jersey, where Ferran Torres scores the championship-winning goal in the 106th minute. Pedro Porro delivers a cross toward the back post, Nico Williams heads the ball back into the center and Torres finishes powerfully beyond Emiliano Martínez. It is Torres’ first goal of the tournament and comes after both he and Williams enter from the bench, highlighting Spain’s depth and Luis de la Fuente’s trust in his entire squad.Spain controls approximately 65% of possession, records 20 shots and repeatedly tests Martínez from different areas. Argentina struggles to create anything offensively, failing to register a first-half attempt and producing only 2 shots across 120 minutes. Lionel Messi touches the ball just 6 times during the opening 23 minutes as Spain uses possession and midfield control to prevent him from receiving in dangerous areas.Martínez keeps Argentina alive with 11 saves, the most by a goalkeeper in a men’s World Cup final since detailed records began in 1966. He denies Lamine Yamal, Dani Olmo, Mikel Oyarzabal and others as Spain creates chance after chance without finding an early breakthrough.Argentina’s approach gradually becomes focused on survival. Lionel Scaloni strengthens the midfield at halftime, but his team still cannot sustain possession or create meaningful opportunities. The challenge becomes even greater when Enzo Fernández receives a second yellow card during second-half stoppage time, forcing Argentina to play extra time with 10 men.Spain briefly has a Nico Williams goal disallowed before finally scoring early in the second period of extra time. Argentina pushes forward afterward and Messi manages a late effort, but Spain protects the lead to secure its second men’s World Cup title and first since 2010.Chris explains why the low-scoring final was not an evenly balanced defensive battle. Spain consistently controlled the ball and created opportunities, while Martínez produced an extraordinary individual performance to keep Argentina within reach of penalties.Spain finishes the World Cup unbeaten, extends its overall unbeaten run to 38 matches and concedes only 1 goal across 8 games. The victory adds a World Cup title to the European Championship Spain won in 2024 and confirms the country’s return to the top of international football.The individual awards reflect Spain’s collective dominance. Rodri wins the Golden Ball, Unai Simón receives the Golden Glove after recording 7 clean sheets and Pau Cubarsí is named Best Young Player. France star Kylian Mbappé wins the Golden Boot with 10 goals, becoming the first player to claim the award twice.Messi finishes the tournament with 8 goals and 4 assists after leading Argentina to another final at age 39. Chris considers whether this may have been Messi’s final World Cup appearance and discusses his postgame embrace with Yamal as a symbolic meeting between the defining player of one generation and one of the leading stars of the next.The episode closes by emphasizing that Spain never depended upon one individual. Seven players scored during the tournament, Torres delivered his first goal in the final, Williams supplied the decisive assist, Rodri controlled midfield and Spain’s defense consistently prevented opponents from creating quality chances. After 104 matches involving 48 teams across 3 host countries, the 2026 World Cup ends with Spain on top of the world.
England-France Thriller, Spain-Argentina Final Next
09:24|On this episode of The Underdog World Cup Show, Chris Horwedel recaps England and France’s record-setting third-place match before delivering a full preview of the 2026 World Cup final between Spain and defending champion Argentina.The show opens with England’s 6-4 victory over France in the highest-scoring third-place game in World Cup history. England scores 4 times before halftime behind Declan Rice, Ezri Konsa and 2 goals from Bukayo Saka. France responds after the break through Kylian Mbappé, Bradley Barcola and Ousmane Dembélé, but Saka completes his hat trick from the penalty spot before Jude Bellingham closes the scoring.England finishes third at a men’s World Cup for the first time and records its best tournament result since winning in 1966. The game also concludes Didier Deschamps’ 14-year run as France manager after a tenure that included the 2018 World Cup title and another final appearance in 2022.Mbappé’s 2 goals move him to 10 for the tournament and 22 across his World Cup career, taking him past Lionel Messi as the leading scorer in men’s World Cup history. Mbappé also strengthens his position in the Golden Boot race, while Michael Olise finishes the tournament with a reported single-World Cup record of 7 assists.Attention then turns to the World Cup final in New York–New Jersey. Argentina is attempting to become the first country since Brazil in 1958 and 1962 to win consecutive men’s World Cups. Spain is seeking its second championship and first since 2010.Chris compares the tournament’s leading attack with its best defense. Argentina enters with 19 goals and 7 wins, while Spain has conceded only once during an unbeaten run through the competition. Spain also carries a 37-match unbeaten streak, while Argentina has won 14 consecutive matches and remains undefeated across its last 13 World Cup games.The tactical preview focuses on Spain’s possession, width and defensive control. Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams provide direct threats from wide areas, Mikel Oyarzabal creates movement through the middle and Spain’s midfield continually changes the angle of attack. Spain has allowed very few quality scoring chances throughout the tournament, making Argentina’s challenge considerably more difficult than simply finding a way to contain the ball.Argentina will look to make the final less structured. Lionel Scaloni’s team needs transitions, second balls and moments in which Messi can receive possession before Spain establishes its defensive shape. Lautaro Martínez, Julián Álvarez and Enzo Fernández are highlighted as potential secondary threats around Messi.Chris also breaks down the latest markets from oddsmakers, including regulation and championship prices, anytime goalscorer options, the 2-goal total and both-teams-to-score markets. Messi enters with 8 goals and 4 assists, while Oyarzabal and Yamal are among Spain’s leading attacking candidates.The episode closes by examining the importance of the opening goal, Spain’s ability to apply steady pressure and Argentina’s record of creating decisive moments. Messi against Yamal provides the headline image, but the final may ultimately be determined by midfield control, second balls, defensive mistakes and the impact of each bench.
Argentina Stuns England as Messi Creates Two Late Goals
07:15|On this episode of The Underdog World Cup Show, Chris Horwedel recaps Argentina’s dramatic 2-1 comeback against England and looks ahead to the 2026 World Cup final between Lionel Messi’s defending champions and Spain.The semifinal in Atlanta begins as a physical, cautious match, with 19 fouls, 2 yellow cards and no shots on target during the first half. England finally breaks through in the 55th minute when Declan Rice helps start a move that ends with Morgan Rogers crossing for Anthony Gordon to score his third goal of the tournament.England appears to have the match under control, but its approach changes after taking the lead. Gordon, Reece James and Rice are replaced as Thomas Tuchel shifts toward a defensive setup. Harry Kane becomes isolated, Jude Bellingham struggles to receive the ball in attacking positions, and England records only 12% possession between Gordon’s goal and Argentina’s winner.Messi repeatedly finds space on Argentina’s right side and eventually creates both goals. In the 85th minute, a quick corner leads to Enzo Fernández curling the equalizer beyond Jordan Pickford. Seven minutes later, Messi delivers a precise stoppage-time cross for Lautaro Martínez, whose header sends Argentina into a second consecutive World Cup final.Chris explains why England’s tactical retreat will become the defining discussion surrounding another painful tournament exit. Kane and Bellingham entered with 6 goals apiece, but England stopped attacking before the match had truly entered its final survival stage. Tuchel later acknowledges that the team became too passive, leaving questions about whether the substitutions caused the collapse or simply failed to reverse it.For Argentina, the victory continues a knockout run built more around resilience than dominance. Lionel Scaloni’s team required extra time in 3 earlier matches, recovered from a 2-goal deficit against Egypt, survived Switzerland and then escaped elimination against England. Argentina continues to stay emotionally connected to difficult matches while trusting Messi to create the decisive moment.Messi now has 8 goals and 4 assists in the tournament, giving him the Golden Boot lead over Kylian Mbappé through the assist tiebreaker. He also has a World Cup-record 12 career assists and sits one win away from lifting a second consecutive trophy at age 39.The episode also previews England’s third-place match against France. Motivation, lineup rotation and fatigue make the game difficult to project, but it could have a major impact on the Golden Boot race. Mbappé has 8 goals, while Kane, Bellingham and Ousmane Dembélé each have 6.Attention then turns to Sunday’s final in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Spain enters having conceded only 1 goal in 7 matches after shutting out France, while Argentina has scored 19 goals and survived nearly every type of tournament challenge.Chris breaks down the central tactical questions: whether Argentina can withstand long stretches without possession, how Rodri and Pedri will control midfield, whether Lamine Yamal can attack Argentina’s left side and how Messi can find space between Spain’s defensive lines. Mikel Oyarzabal’s scoring form and the Golden Ball race are also discussed, with the final likely to decide both the championship and the tournament’s biggest individual honor.
Spain Reaches World Cup Final, Messi Faces England
07:55|On this episode of The Underdog World Cup Show, Chris Horwedel recaps Spain’s dominant 2-0 win over France in the World Cup semifinals and previews England vs. Argentina for the final spot in Sunday’s championship match. The show opens in Arlington, Texas, where Spain shuts out France and neutralizes one of the most dangerous attacks in the tournament. Mikel Oyarzabal opens the scoring from the penalty spot after Lamine Yamal draws a foul from Lucas Digne, and Pedro Porro doubles the lead in the second half after a sharp give-and-go with Dani Olmo.Chris breaks down how Spain controlled the match, limited Kylian Mbappé to 3 shots with none on target, and kept Ousmane Dembélé and Michael Olise quiet. Spain records its sixth clean sheet in 7 matches, extends its unbeaten run in regulation to 37 matches, and reaches its second men’s World Cup final. France’s attempt to reach a third straight World Cup final ends, as Didier Deschamps’ era closes with Spain clearly the better team.The episode then turns to England vs. Argentina in Atlanta, the sixth World Cup meeting between the two countries and the first since 2002. Chris revisits the history of the rivalry, from Diego Maradona in 1986 to David Beckham in 1998 and 2002, while focusing on the modern stakes: Lionel Messi trying to lead Argentina to back-to-back World Cup titles, and England trying to reach the final behind Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham.Messi enters with 8 goals and 2 assists, directly contributing to 10 of Argentina’s 17 goals, while also sitting at the center of the Golden Boot and Golden Ball races. Chris discusses Argentina’s workload concerns after 3 extra-time matches in the knockout stage, Messi’s heavy minutes, Cristian Romero’s fatigue, and Lionel Scaloni’s defensive decisions.For England, Kane and Bellingham have combined for 12 of the team’s 13 goals. Bellingham enters the semifinal after back-to-back two-goal performances, while Declan Rice’s expected return is crucial for controlling the space around Messi. Chris also looks at Reece James’ availability, Bukayo Saka’s push to return to the starting lineup, and how England can stretch Argentina through Saka, Anthony Gordon, Kane, and Bellingham’s late runs.Looking at the odds, Chris frames England as a narrow lean to advance, while noting that Argentina’s knockout resilience makes a 120-minute match very possible. The winner moves on to face Spain in New Jersey on Sunday.
England-Argentina Semifinal Set, France-Spain Next
06:28|On this episode of The Underdog World Cup Show, Chris Horwedel recaps the final World Cup quarterfinals and sets up the full semifinal field: France vs. Spain and England vs. Argentina. The show opens in Miami, where England beats Norway 2-1 after extra time behind another massive performance from Jude Bellingham. Andreas Schjelderup gives Norway the lead in the first half before Bellingham equalizes and then scores again early in extra time after Ørjan Nyland fails to control the ball cleanly. Bellingham now has 6 goals in the tournament, level with Harry Kane and just 2 behind Golden Boot leaders Kylian Mbappé and Lionel Messi.Chris breaks down why England’s performance still raised concerns despite the win. Thomas Tuchel admitted England made too many mistakes and lacked fluency, but the result sends England to its fourth men’s World Cup semifinal and second in the last 3 tournaments. Norway exits after the deepest World Cup run in its history, with Erling Haaland finishing his first World Cup with 7 goals.Argentina also advances after beating Switzerland 3-1 after extra time in Kansas City. Alexis Mac Allister scores from a Messi corner before Dan Ndoye equalizes for Switzerland. The match turns when Breel Embolo is sent off after a video review, but Switzerland still forces Argentina deep into extra time before Julián Álvarez scores in the 112th minute and Lautaro Martínez adds a late third. Messi does not score, keeping him tied with Mbappé on 8 goals, but his assist and Argentina’s attacking depth prove crucial.The episode then previews the semifinal matchups. France vs. Spain is framed as the cleanest pure football matchup left, with France led by Mbappé, Ousmane Dembélé, Michael Olise, and a defense that controlled Morocco, while Spain enters with only 1 goal conceded in 6 matches and a 37-match competitive unbeaten run. Chris highlights the central question: can Spain control Mbappé without opening space for France’s other attackers?England vs. Argentina is positioned as the louder, messier semifinal. Argentina will look to control the pace through Messi, Mac Allister, and Enzo Fernández, while England relies on Bellingham’s late-tournament surge and Kane’s presence up front. Chris also looks at the Golden Boot race, with Mbappé and Messi at 8 goals, Haaland eliminated with 7, and Kane and Bellingham still alive with 6 each.
Spain Survives Belgium & Previewing Today's Games
07:29|On this episode of The Underdog World Cup Show, Chris Horwedel recaps Spain’s 2-1 win over Belgium and previews the final 2 World Cup quarterfinals: Norway vs. England and Argentina vs. Switzerland. The show opens in Los Angeles, where Spain survives Belgium behind another late Mikel Merino winner. Fabián Ruiz gives Spain the lead before Charles De Ketelaere equalizes, ending Spain’s run of 5 straight clean sheets. Belgium pushes Spain deep into the match, but an injury to Thibaut Courtois forces Senne Lammens into goal, and Merino finishes the rebound in the closing minutes.Chris breaks down why Belgium’s tournament should not be reduced to 1 goalkeeper mistake, especially after they became the first team to score against Spain. Spain has now gone 37 competitive matches without a defeat and reaches its first men’s World Cup semifinal since winning the tournament in 2010. Next up is a massive France-Spain semifinal loaded with attacking talent.The episode then previews Norway vs. England in Miami, centered on Erling Haaland against Harry Kane. Haaland has 7 goals in 5 matches, while Kane has 6, making this matchup a major Golden Boot storyline. Norway enters after stunning Brazil behind Haaland’s brace, while England advanced past Mexico behind 2 Jude Bellingham goals and a Kane penalty. Chris looks at England’s defensive concerns, Jarell Quansah’s suspension, Jordan Henderson’s injury, Marc Guéhi’s fitness, and Norway’s ability to create danger through Martin Ødegaard, Alexander Sørloth, and Haaland.Chris uses odds from oddsmakers to frame England as the favorite, while noting Norway’s transition threat and the attacking numbers on both sides. The lean is England advancing in a game where Norway still finds the scoresheet.The show closes with Argentina vs. Switzerland in Kansas City. Argentina is trying to become the first men’s team since Brazil in 1962 to win back-to-back World Cups, while Lionel Messi looks to move ahead of Kylian Mbappé in the Golden Boot race. Messi has 8 goals in the tournament and 21 career World Cup goals. Switzerland counters with a compact defense, Gregor Kobel in goal, Granit Xhaka in midfield, and momentum from its penalty shootout win over Colombia. Chris expects Switzerland to make Argentina work, but leans Argentina advancing behind Messi and their ability to survive difficult knockout games.
Messi’s Eighth Goal, Enzo Winner and Swiss Shootout
04:50|On this episode of The Underdog World Cup Show, Chris Horwedel recaps the final Round of 16 results and looks ahead to the full World Cup quarterfinal field. With no games on the schedule, the show takes a breath after Argentina’s wild escape against Egypt, Switzerland’s penalty shootout win over Colombia, and a tournament bracket that now features France-Morocco, Spain-Belgium, Norway-England, and Argentina-Switzerland.The episode opens in Atlanta, where Argentina beats Egypt 3-2 after trailing 2-0 with just 11 minutes left. Yasser Ibrahim and Mostafa Ziko put Egypt on the edge of a historic World Cup upset, while goalkeeper Mostafa Shoubir frustrates Argentina and Lionel Messi misses a penalty. But Argentina storms back late through Cristian Romero, Messi’s eighth goal of the tournament, and a stoppage-time winner from Enzo Fernández. Chris breaks down Egypt’s heartbreak, Argentina’s championship survival instincts, and why Messi remains inevitable on the World Cup stage.Switzerland also moves into the quarterfinals after beating Colombia 4-3 on penalties following a tense 0-0 draw in Vancouver. Gregor Kobel becomes the shootout hero, saving Cucho Hernández’s attempt before Davinson Sánchez hits the bar and Ruben Vargas scores the decisive penalty. The win sends Switzerland to its first World Cup quarterfinal since 1954, ending a 72-year wait. Chris highlights Colombia’s missed chances, the strong Colombian crowd at BC Place, and Switzerland’s ability to stay calm in a high-pressure knockout match.The show then lays out the full quarterfinal bracket before previewing France vs. Morocco in Foxborough. Morocco enters as a serious knockout-stage program after reaching a second straight World Cup quarterfinal, beating Canada 3-0, and already eliminating the Netherlands. Chris highlights Achraf Hakimi, Yassine Bounou, Azzedine Ounahi, and Brahim Díaz as key players who can help Morocco make the game uncomfortable.France remains the favorite after five wins, 14 goals scored, and only one goal conceded. Kylian Mbappé leads the attack with seven goals, while Ousmane Dembélé and Désiré Doué give France even more speed and creativity. Chris frames the matchup as France’s pace and attacking power against Morocco’s ability to slow the rhythm, defend with control, and create one or two dangerous transition moments.
USMNT Out, Spain Ends Ronaldo’s World Cup Run
06:25|On this episode of The Underdog World Cup Show, Chris Horwedel recaps the final full day before the Round of 16 closes, led by Spain beating Portugal, Belgium eliminating the United States, and previews for Argentina vs. Egypt and Switzerland vs. Colombia. The show opens with Spain’s 1-0 win over Portugal in Dallas, where Mikel Merino scores a stoppage-time winner after a late setup from Ferran Torres. Chris breaks down Spain’s controlled performance, their perfect record of 5 wins and 5 clean sheets, and what it means as they move into a quarterfinal against Belgium.The Portugal side of the story centers on Cristiano Ronaldo, who played the full match at 41 in what may have been his final World Cup appearance. Chris reflects on Ronaldo’s six-tournament World Cup career, Portugal’s heartbreak, and the painful way his tournament run may have ended against Spain.Belgium’s 4-1 win over the United States takes center stage next, as Charles De Ketelaere stars with 2 goals and an assist, Romelu Lukaku adds a late goal, and Kevin De Bruyne helps Belgium punish U.S. defensive mistakes. Malik Tillman briefly brings the U.S. level with another free kick, but Belgium’s experience and finishing prove too much. Chris also discusses Matt Freese’s costly mistake, Christian Pulisic’s ankle injury, Folarin Balogun’s availability after the suspension controversy, and the frustration of the U.S. exiting a home World Cup in the Round of 16.The episode then previews Argentina vs. Egypt, with Lionel Messi tied atop the Golden Boot race alongside Kylian Mbappé and Erling Haaland. Chris explains why Argentina are heavy favorites with oddsmakers, but also why Egypt’s historic knockout win, Mohamed Salah’s return, Omar Marmoush’s threat, and Emam Ashour’s form make this more interesting than a simple mismatch.The show closes with Switzerland vs. Colombia in Vancouver, the better pure matchup of the day. Switzerland bring structure, Granit Xhaka’s control, Manuel Akanji’s defensive calm, and Breel Embolo’s knockout scoring threat, while Colombia counter with Luis Díaz, James Rodríguez, Jhon Arias, and questions around Jhon Córdoba’s injury. Chris frames the matchup as Switzerland’s control against Colombia’s pressure, pace, and attacking talent.