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The Ponsonby and Massie Podcast
Reform UK in Scottish Polls - How Much is Media Hype?
Summary
In this episode of the Ponsonby and Massie podcast, Bernard Ponsonby and Alex Massie discuss
- the recent program for government announced by John Swinney, analyzing its implications and the political landscape in Scotland. They explore the limited legislative agenda, the scrapping of peak fares, the promise of more GP appointments, and the shifting dynamics within the SNP. The conversation highlights the importance of engaging with the business community and the challenges faced by the government in addressing public needs while managing fiscal responsibilities. The conversation delves into the dynamics of Scottish politics, focusing on the importance of personal relationships in political negotiations, current polling trends,
- The implications of the rise of Reform UK. It also discusses the role of the Liberal Democrats as a refuge for discontented voters, draws historical parallels with the SDP Liberal Alliance, and addresses the contentious issue of gender recognition legislation.
- The economic outlook and its potential impact on political fortunes are also explored, highlighting the challenges and opportunities facing the Labour Party and the Conservative government.
- The program for government lacks substantial legislative content.
- John Swinney's leadership style emphasizes stability and pragmatism.
- The scrapping of peak fares is seen as a political strategy.
- Public transport funding raises questions about taxpayer burden.
- The promise of more GP appointments may not significantly impact healthcare access.
- Swinney's first year is viewed positively compared to his predecessors.
- Engagement with the business community is crucial for government success.
- The SNP's funding structure benefits from the Barnett formula.
- Political dynamics in Scotland are shifting under Swinney's leadership.
- The government faces challenges in prioritizing public spending effectively. Personal relationships in politics can significantly influence outcomes.
- Current polling shows a decline in support for the SNP and Tories.
- Reform UK's popularity may not sustain under scrutiny during elections.
- Voter sentiment often outweighs detailed policy platforms.
- The Liberal Democrats serve as an alternative for voters dissatisfied with major parties.
- Historical parallels exist between Reform UK and the SDP Liberal Alliance.
- Gender recognition issues are contentious and politically charged.
- Economic factors will play a crucial role in upcoming elections.
- Labour's challenges are compounded by internal dissatisfaction.
- The political landscape is fluid, with potential shifts in voter allegiance.
Scottish government, John Swinney, legislative agenda, public transport, GP appointments, political strategy, SNP, Scotland, healthcare, business community, politics, polling, Reform UK, Liberal Democrats, gender recognition, economic outlook, Scottish elections, political relationships, public sentiment, electoral trends
Focussing on UK, Scottish and Global politics, if you like other great political podcasts like The Rest is Politics, The News Agents, Newscast, Questions Time, Holyrood Sources, Planet Holyrood, The Stooshie, The Steamie, Scotcast, Americast etc etc then The Ponsonby and Massie Podcast could be a great show to add to your list of favourites.
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99. STARMER IS FINISHED
45:32||Ep. 99Recorded on the morning of Friday 6th Feb 2026 (It may all have changed by lunchtime)Includes a moment to reflect on the life of Alex's Father, Allan Massie, who died earlier this week.
98. NEW POLLS - 100 DAYS TO SCOTTISH PARLIAMENT ELECTIONS
50:30||Ep. 98New polls report that 1 in 5 Scots claim they will vote for Reform UK at the Scottish Parliament Elections in May. Bernard and Alex analyse what is ahead. Tributes to Lord Jim WallaceScottish Parliament PollingBurnham and StarmerWill unpopular Tories be any more popular in Reform?
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LIVE FROM UNIVERSITY OF GLASGOW + Q&A - With Professor Chris Carman
01:29:40|With a live audience at the University of Glasgow Stevenson Trust for Citizenship, Bernard and Alex are join by Professor Chris Carman and questions from the floor, including Prof Sir John Curtice. PONSONBY & MASSIE – STEVENSON LIVE PODCAST00:00 – 00:01:16 | Intro & Format00:01:16 – 00:03:34 | Early Predictions & Polling Landscape00:03:34 – 00:05:55 | Labour’s Misread of Momentum (2010 vs 2024)00:05:55 – 00:12:15 | Reform UK: Mood, Populism, Immigration00:12:15 – 00:18:45 | Starmer’s Weakness & Impact on Scottish Labour00:18:45 – 00:23:34 | Independence as Tactical Messaging00:23:34 – 00:33:00 | 27 Years of Devolution: Has It Delivered?00:33:00 – 00:40:00 | State Size, Means vs Ends, and 2026 Prospects00:40:00 – 00:41:47 | Election PredictionsAUDIENCE Q&A (Chaired by Prof. Chris Carman)00:41:47 – 00:44:48 | Q1 – What’s the Offer to Young Voters?00:44:48 – 00:49:50 | Q2 – State Size & Social Democratic Mission (Sir John Curtice)00:49:50 – 01:01:35 | Q3 – Scrutiny, Misinformation & Media TrustAudience question.01:01:35 – 01:09:20 | Q4 – Social Media, Democratic Innovation & Greens’ Prospects01:09:20 – 01:20:29 | Q5 – Edinburgh vs Glasgow & Sustainability of ‘Free Scotland’ Model01:20:29 – 01:27:00 | Q6 – Is Social Democracy Still Represented?01:27:00 – 01:29:10 | Q7 – MSP Exodus & Legislative Overload01:29:10 – End | Closing
94. Ed Miliband - The Next UK Prime Minister? Bernard & Alex think he's one to watch.
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93. "I Don't Think STV Has a Future" - Broadcasters in Crisis
46:33||Ep. 93Bernard and Alex dig into the editorial crisis at the BBC, Comcast/SKY's potential takeover of ITV and Bernard (STV's former Political Editor and longest serving journalist of 34 years) says he no longer thinks the company has a future.