The Other Hand

Irish employment is still growing - at another all-time high. Not unrelatedly, house prices are also booming.UK farmers are protesting about inheritance taxation. What are the issues and do they have wider resonance?

Budget 2025 has been derailed by Project 2025 - the radical agenda denied by Trump during his campaign (it really is so extreme even he had to disavow it). Notwithstanding the denials, Project 2025 is now being implemented. But few Irish or European politicians seem to have noticed.Latest EU Commission economic forecasts are pretty dire.The US is leaving the EU for dust. And a new gap has emerged: the EU North versus the Eu SouthWill the EU ever be an economically dynamic region again?Has the battle against inflation really been won? At least one natural gas price has doubled recently.China is limbering up to fight the Trump trade war.

Trump is impossible to forecast - so should we stop trying? Is talking about him merely enabling him? Colluding with him?There is a spiders-web of connections between Trump and Brexit.Farage, Le Pen and Orban have a new spring in their step.Brexiteers still hanker after a free trade deal with the US. They must confront the reality of a protectionist US President - and government.One way Trump could make mischief would be to implement his global tariffs but offer the UK an exemption. The British government could hardly say no. But that would blow out of the water all of their efforts 'to get closer to the EU'. That would be the end of the 'rebuilding trust' project.Brexit is now too difficult to talk about. It may even be a problem too difficult to solve. Most Britons agree that Brexit was a mistake but is now a problem child best kept hidden.Electorates everywhere want anything but the truth.A fabulous conversation with Professor Chris Grey

Well, we said it was the year of election. Now we live with the consequences.

The first UK budget ever delivered by a female Chancellor was presented with aplomb and panache. A pity the details didn’t match up to the presentation.

Germany is in economic trouble. Its car industry - 7% of the economy - is being squeezed by struggling exports (to China in particular) and a poorly handled transition to EVs.Add in problems that go back decades and maybe its time to become a Eurosceptic again. If Trump wins, the Democrats need to look in mirror.

Loads of men (mostly) say their favourite movie is The Godfather. Plenty also rate the Sopranos as the best TV series ever. Is that because they secretly (and not so secretly these days) would love to have a Mafiosi's unchecked power?Brexit is the most contemporary example of people saying the system doesn't work for them and then replacing it with something far worse. The US appears to be on the verge of making the same mistake.Unchecked power accompanied by extreme wealth turns people mad.The checks and balances built into the US constitution were put there by people who recognised the dark side of human nature. They designed a system with guardrails explicitly put there to protect against someone like Trump rising to power.Trump unchained will be nothing like the Trump of his first reign. There is nobody left, even on the Supreme Court, to hold him back.