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đ The 2026 Playbook: What Investors Need to Know đ
Itâs the most wonderful time of the year, and our favourite annual tradition! Candice & Felicity are joined once again by Shaw and Partners CIO, Martin Crabb, to unpack the Top 10 Investment Themes for 2026 in this festive, market-moving Christmas special.
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This year, weâve wrapped each theme in a Christmas-themed jingle, while Martin delivers deep insights on the macro landscape, AI acceleration, geopolitics, EM vs China divergences, private markets, and the big question: where should investors be positioned for 2026?
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We also look back at Martinâs 2025 predictions including nuclearâs standout performance with a candid âCrystal Ball Reviewâ, covering PDN, TLX and IDPâs 12-month results.
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Finally, Martin reveals his #1 high-conviction pick for 2026, tied directly to one of his top themes for the year ahead.
This episode is packed with insights, laughter, Christmas spirit⌠and a few questionable vocal performances from your favourite financial advisers.
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IN THIS EPISODEÂ
 The 10 themes shaping global markets in 2026
 Bond markets: why theyâre still âshark-infested watersâ
 How Trumpâs â3 Dsâ (DOGE, Deregulation & Drugs) shape US opportunities
 AI infrastructure: the second-derivative winners
 Europeâs surprising revival
 EM vs China: where the winds are actually turning
 Private markets unlocking liquidity
 IPO & M&A activity making a comeback
 Martinâs 2025 âcrystal ball reviewâ â PDN, TLX, IDP
 Martinâs top investment pick for 2026
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This episode is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Candice Bourke and Felicity Thomas are authorised financial advisers with Shaw and Partners Limited (AFSL 236 048). The views expressed are general in nature and do not take into account individual circumstances. Always seek professional advice before making investment decisions. Information is current as of the recording date (10 December 2025).
đ§ Contact us:
cftgroup@shawandpartners.com.au
info@cftgroup.com.au
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174. Iran Conflict & Oil Shock â ď¸: What Middle East Tensions Mean for Global Markets and Investors
26:55||Ep. 174In this macro market update, Candice and Felicity unpack the latest developments in the Middle East and what the Iran conflict could mean for global markets, oil prices and investment portfolios.With tensions escalating across the Gulf region and growing disruption risks around the Strait of Hormuz a critical shipping route responsible for roughly 20â25% of global oil supply investors are asking what this means for markets.In this episode we discuss:⢠Why geopolitical conflicts often have less lasting impact on markets than investors expect ⢠How much of the recent oil price move has already been priced into markets ⢠What history tells us about stocks, gold, bonds and volatility during geopolitical crises ⢠The potential scenarios for the Iran conflict and their market implications ⢠Why US large-cap equities and structural growth sectors may remain resilient ⢠Opportunities emerging across cyclicals, travel stocks and global equities ⢠The role of energy, commodities and safe-haven assets in portfolios ⢠How investors can navigate volatility while staying focused on long-term investment objectivesPeriods of geopolitical tension can create uncertainty in markets, but they can also present opportunities for disciplined investors who stay focused on fundamentals and long-term strategy.â ď¸ DisclaimerThis podcast contains general information only and does not take into account your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. It should not be considered personal financial advice. Candice Bourke and Felicity Thomas are Authorised Representatives of Shaw and Partners Limited (ABN 24 003 221 583, AFSL 236048). The information discussed in this podcast is current at the time of recording but may change without notice. Any opinions expressed are those of the hosts and may not necessarily reflect the views of Shaw and Partners Limited. Before making any investment decision, you should consider whether the information is appropriate for you and seek advice from a licensed financial adviser. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Investing involves risk and the value of investments can rise or fall. This podcast is produced for informational and educational purposes only. Everything is based on facts known at the time of recording 3rd March 2026.
173. Order Pad | Everyoneâs Talking Nvidia⌠Weâre Buying This AI Infrastructure Stock Instead (VRT.NYS)
16:28||Ep. 173Everyoneâs talking about Nvidia. But what if the biggest opportunity in artificial intelligence isnât in chips⌠itâs in the infrastructure powering the entire ecosystem? In this Order Pad episode, Candice breaks down why she is buying Vertiv (VRT.NYS) and why she believes the next phase of the AI investment cycle will be driven by power, cooling and data centre infrastructure. Artificial intelligence is creating one of the largest global infrastructure build-outs in decades. As demand for computing power accelerates, so does the need for energy, advanced cooling systems and mission-critical data centre solutions. This is where Vertiv sits at the centre of the opportunity. This episode includes:What Vertiv actually does and why most investors misunderstand the businessWhy AI workloads are significantly more energy and infrastructure intensiveThe key numbers from the latest result, including strong order growth and backlog visibilityWhy the share price has been volatile despite strong fundamentalsThe long-duration AI infrastructure cycle and why we believe it is still earlyWhat the market will be watching over the next 12 monthsWhy we believe this is a compelling long-term investment opportunity If you want to understand where the second wave of AI investing may come from, this episode is for you.  If you would like to discuss your portfolio or explore opportunities aligned with your long-term strategy, you can reach out to us directly:Candice Bourke and Felicity Thomas - cftgroup@shawandpartners.com.au DisclaimerThis podcast is general information only and does not take into account your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. It should not be considered personal financial advice. Before making any investment decision, you should consider whether the information is appropriate for you and seek advice from a licensed financial adviser. Shaw and Partners Limited ABN 24 003 221 583 AFSL 236048.
172. Borrowing to Invest đ: Smart Wealth Strategy or Risky Move?
23:23||Ep. 172In this episode of Talk Money To Me, Candice Bourke and Felicity Thomas unpack one of the most misunderstood wealth strategies in Australia borrowing to invest through margin lending.Many Australians are comfortable using debt to build wealth through property, but far fewer understand how leverage can be used in a diversified global portfolio. When structured correctly, margin lending can accelerate long-term wealth. However, when used poorly, it can magnify risk and volatility.In this episode, we break down the strategy in a simple and practical way, including real client scenarios and the key considerations sophisticated investors need to understand.We cover:âď¸ What margin lending is and how it worksâď¸ Loan-to-value ratios (LVR) and how lenders assess riskâď¸ What actually happens in a margin callâď¸ Why diversification and investment selection matter more than leverageâď¸ A 10-year real-world scenario leveraging the S&P 500, including realistic Australian borrowing costsâď¸ Behavioural mistakes investors make during market volatilityâď¸ Margin lending versus property gearingâď¸ Who this strategy may be suitable for â and who should avoid itThis episode is designed for high-income professionals, long-term investors and anyone looking to build wealth through disciplined, strategic investing.đŠ Contact Candice & FelicityIf youâd like to learn more or discuss your personal financial strategy, you can reach out to us directly:đ§ cftgroup@shawandpartners.com.auđ www.cftgroup.com.auOr connect with us on LinkedIn:Candice Bourke & Felicity Thomasâ ď¸ DisclaimerThis podcast is hosted by Candice Bourke and Felicity Thomas both Financial Advisers at Shaw and Partners AFSL 236048. The information discussed is general in nature and does not take into account your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information, you should consider the appropriateness of the advice and seek professional advice tailored to your circumstances.Any views expressed are those of the hosts at the time of recording and may change. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Investing involves risk, including the loss of capital. Borrowing to invest, including margin lending, can magnify gains and losses and may not be suitable for all investors.
171. Order Pad | The 2026 Re-Rating Opportunity: Is 100% Upside Possible? | WiseTech Global (WTC.ASX)
07:55||Ep. 171Welcome to this fortnightâs TMTM Order Pad, where we break down one high-conviction investment idea and assess whether the market is mispricing the opportunity.In this episode, Felicity dives into WiseTech Global (WTC.ASX) one of the ASXâs most widely followed technology stocks and explains why we believe the company could be entering a critical 2026 re-rating phase.After a sharp sell-off across global software stocks, WiseTech now trades below historical valuation averages despite strong customer retention, growing free cash flow, a transition to transaction-based pricing, and integration upside from e2open.In this deep dive, we cover:⢠What WiseTech actually does and why CargoWise is mission-critical⢠The pricing model shift and margin outlook⢠e2open integration risks and opportunities⢠AI disruption risk or competitive advantage?⢠What the upcoming FY26 result needs to proveIs this simply a recovery trade or a genuine asymmetric opportunity?IMPORTANT: WTC.ASX at the time of recording 10th February 2026 is trading between $47 and $50đŻ About TMTM Order PadOrder Pad is our fortnightly high-conviction stock segment, where we analyse companies with structural advantages, strong cash generation, and identifiable catalysts ahead. Think next-multibagger energy with institutional discipline.Positioning before consensus.â ď¸ Important DisclaimerThis podcast contains general information only and does not take into account your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. It does not constitute personal financial advice. Before making any investment decision, you should consider whether the information is appropriate for you and seek advice from a licensed financial adviser. Talk Money To Me is hosted by advisers at Shaw and Partners Felicity Thomas and Candice Bourke (AFSL 236048). Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. All investments carry risk. Investments may rise and fall in value, and capital loss is possible.đŠ Get in TouchIf you would like to discuss your portfolio or explore whether WiseTech or other ASX opportunities may be appropriate for you:đ§ tcftgroup@shawandpartners.com.auđ www.cftgroup.com.auđ Follow Talk Money To Me on Spotify, Apple Podcasts & YouTubeđą Follow @TalkMoneyToMePodcast on Instagram & @TalkMoneyToMe on LinkedIn
170. 2026 Investment Outlookđ: China, AI Rotation, Copper, Europe & the Hidden Credit Risks Investors Canât Ignore
29:08||Ep. 170What does 2026 really look like for investors?In this first episode back for 2026, Talk Money To Me hosts Felicity Thomas and Candice Bourke break down whatâs actually driving markets beneath the surface using institutional insights from global strategy teams across equities, credit, derivatives and China.Markets may be broadening, but risks are shifting and in this episode we unpack what that means for portfolios.In this episode we cover:Why markets feel calmer but may actually be more fragile in 2026The rotation away from the US and why China and Europe are back in focusThe next phase of the AI trade â and why itâs moved beyond mega-cap techHow to think about copper, infrastructure and electrification as AI enablersWhy private credit and high yield could be the hidden risk this yearWhy Europe, particularly banks and credit, is quietly well positionedThe key 2026 market catalysts to watch â from Chinaâs NPC to US midtermsHow UBSâs â10 Surprisesâ framework is already playing out in marketsWhat Felicity and Candice are actually doing in portfolios as a result2025 was about chasing what worked.2026 is about positioning for whatâs coming next.â ď¸ Important DisclaimerThis podcast is for general information only and does not take into account your personal objectives, financial situation or needs.While Felicity Thomas and Candice Bourke are Authorised Representatives of Shaw and Partners Limited (AFSL 236048), the information discussed in this podcast does not constitute personal financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial product.You should consider whether the information is appropriate for you and seek independent professional advice before making any financial decisions.Information is current as at the time of recording: 4th February 2026đŠ Contact & More InformationIf youâd like to discuss any of the themes covered in this episode or understand how they may apply to your portfolio:Visit: www.cftgroup.com.au Or get in touch with Felicity Thomas or Candice Bourke cftgroup@shawandpartners.com.au Follow Talk Money To Me on Spotify or Apple Podcasts, and share this episode with someone who loves their markets, macros and long-term investing conversations.
168. 6 Big Investment Themes for 2026đ: AI, Energy Upgrade, Critical Minerals & the SMID Comeback
38:27||Ep. 168Black Friday panic, Christmas chaos⌠and a derivatives-led global equity sell-off. In this episode of Talk Money To Me, Candice and Felicity zoom out from the noise and share six major investment themes set to shape portfolios in 2026 plus the ETFs, sectors and stocks theyâre watching right now.Recorded on 25 November 2025 following a sharp but non-fundamental global equity pullback driven by CTAs, futures activity and a VIX spike, the pair break down why retail investors have been buying the dip, not selling it and why the medium-term setup for equities remains constructive.They then reveal their 2026 Playbook, covering:â Theme 1 â Mid-Duration Fixed Income & Floating RatesWhy the 3â5 year part of the curve, senior bank notes, floating-rate notes and diversified bond ETFs (like MQSD) are compelling defensive anchors heading into an uncertain rate environment.đ Theme 2 â The Great Energy UpgradeAI power demand, electricity grid strain and the resurgence of LNG and nuclear. Featuring WDS, uranium via URNM/ATOM, BOE, PDN and enrichment play SLX.đ¤ Theme 3 â The Critical AI Value ChainThe backbone of AI: semis, cooling, power, data centres and transmission. With names including NVDA, AVGO, VRT, SMCI, ASML, TSMC, EQIX, DLR, NXT and ETFs GXAI and NDQ.đ§Ź Theme 4 â Disruptive Science & Healthcare Re-RatingGLP-1s, radiopharmaceuticals and gene editing. Opportunities across CSL, TLX, Novo Nordisk, Eli Lilly and ETFs DRUG, CURE, ARKG and IXJ.âď¸ Theme 5 â Critical Minerals & Strategic CommoditiesCopper shortages, rare earth dominance and long lead-time supply constraints. Ideas include ACDC, COPX, BHP, LYC and ILU.đ Theme 6 â Global SMID & Quality RotationOne of the most compelling under-the-radar opportunities of 2026. Exploring valuation gaps, historical outperformance and quality SMID exposures. If youâre planning your 2026 portfolio strategy, this episode is your end-of-year roadmap across bonds, AI, energy, commodities, healthcare and global SMIDs.â ď¸ DisclaimerThis content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Candice Bourke and Felicity Thomas are authorised financial advisers with Shaw and Partners Limited (AFSL 236 048). The views expressed are general in nature and have not considered your personal circumstances. Please seek independent professional advice before making any financial decisions. Information is current as of the recording date (25 November 2025).đ§ Contact us: cftgroup@shawandpartners.com.au info@cftgroup.com.au
167. The Next Resource BoomđĽ: AI, Uranium, Copper & Rare Earths â Where Smart Money Goes in 2026
24:56||Ep. 167In this episode of Talk Money To Me, Candice Bourke and Felicity Thomas take you through the biggest forces shaping markets right now â from renewed AI scrutiny, sticky inflation, and shifting interest-rate expectations, to Australiaâs new era of resource reinvention. We break down the key macro trends, the sector winners and losers, and the commodities powering the next decade of global growth. What we cover in this episode:Market Pulse: AI Growing Pains & Macro Cross-CurrentsWhy âbeats not rewardedâ is back this earnings seasonAI infrastructureâs funding tension: $13B revenues vs $1.4T spend commitmentsLabour softness vs strong corporate earningsFed & RBA rate-cut expectations into late-2025/2026Why investors are shifting to quality, income and pricing power The Big Commodity Themes to WatchCopper: AI, EVs and renewables doubling demand by 2035Uranium: the fuel behind decarbonisation and AI-driven energy demandRare Earths: the strategic backbone of defence, EVs and windGold: outperforming the S&P 500 as a âstore of trustââ ď¸ Disclaimer:This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Candice Bourke and Felicity Thomas are authorised financial advisers with Shaw and Partners Limited (AFSL 236 048). The views expressed are general in nature and have not considered your personal circumstances. Please seek independent professional advice before making any financial decisions. Information is current as of the recording date (11 November 2025).đ§ Contact us: cftgroup@shawandpartners.com.au or info@cftgroup.com.au for our latest research monitor
166. The Return of Value đđ°: Global Dividends and the Next Big Shift
37:32||Ep. 166In this episode of Talk Money To Me, Candice Bourke sits down with Jeff Cullen, Managing Director at Schafer Cullen Capital Management, to unpack whatâs really driving global equity markets right now from the resurgence of value investing to the opportunities unfolding in AI, electrification, and global income strategies.With over three decades of experience across Wall Street and global fund management, Jeff shares invaluable insights into:đŚ The rebirth of global value investing â and whatâs fuelling the rotation away from growth đś Europeâs trillion-euro fiscal stimulus â creating long-term structural tailwinds đ Global macro shifts â the implications of Trumpâs policies, U.S. dollar weakness, and trade tensions with China ⥠Electrification leaders â how dividend-paying giants like Toyota, Siemens, and Enel are powering the energy transition đ¤ AI meets value â why artificial intelligence is no longer just a growth story đď¸ Onshoring momentum â supply-chain shifts, protectionism, and where the next wave of opportunity lies đ° Jeffâs best buy idea â his top conviction call in the current market environmentThis conversation ties directly into the Shaw and Partners Global Equity Income Strategy, managed in partnership with Schafer Cullen Capital a concentrated global value portfolio targeting above-market yield and long-term income growth.đ§ Tune in to hear how disciplined value investing, global diversification, and sustainable dividends are shaping opportunities for income and growth in 2025 and beyond.â ď¸ Disclaimer:This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Candice Bourke and Felicity Thomas are authorised financial advisers with Shaw and Partners Limited (AFSL 236 048). The views expressed are general in nature and have not considered your personal circumstances. Please seek independent professional advice before making any financial decisions. Information is current as of the recording date (24 October 2025).đ§ Contact us: cftgroup@shawandpartners.com.au or info@cftgroup.com.au