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European Deterrence and the Changing U.S. Strategy
In this episode of StrategicALLY, hosts Bori Benedek and Zsigmond Tar sit down with Paul van Hooft, a defence and deterrence expert at RAND Europe, to explore the evolving dynamics of European security. The discussion covers critical topics such as NATO enlargement, European deterrence, and the shifting focus of American foreign policy from Europe to the Indo-Pacific. Mr. van Hooft provides context on the potential implications of a Trump administration on transatlantic relations, the war in Ukraine, and the strategic cohesion of European militaries. Drawing on his extensive research and publications, he discusses Europe’s reliance on the U.S. in key military sectors, the necessity for European fallback options, and the prospects for enhanced EU-NATO collaboration. Packed with expert insights, this episode offers a comprehensive analysis of the future of European defence in an increasingly multipolar world.
References
Deter, Compete, and Engage: Europe’s Responsibility within the Arms Control Regime after Ukraine, with or without the United States: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/379021985_Deter_Compete_and_Engage_Europe’s_Responsibility_within_the_Arms_Control_Regime_after_Ukraine_with_or_without_the_United_States
W/ Ivan Oehlrich and Stephen Biddle Anti-satellite warfare, proliferated satellites, and the future of space-based military surveillance: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/01402390.2024.2379398
Every Which Way But Loose: The United States, NATO Enlargement, European Strategic Autonomy and Fragmentation https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/978-3-031-23364-7_13.pdf?pdf=inline+link
W/Davis Ellison – Twilight of Atlanticism? America’s shifting approach to Europe: https://hcss.nl/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Twilight-of-Atlanticism-HCSS-2024.pdf
W/ Tim Sweijs, Philip Geurts – Strengthening deterrence against nuclear, conventional, and hybrid threats: Strengths, Weaknesses, and Insights for US Allies in Europe and Asia: https://hcss.nl/report/strengthening-deterrence-nuclear-conventional-hybrid-threats/
Transatlantic relations after four years of Trumpism: a postmortem: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/351271137_Transatlantic_relations_after_four_years_of_Trumpism_a_postmortem
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