Mid-Atlantic - conversations about US, UK and world politics

In a twist that has left political pundits and voters alike scrambling, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has called for a UK general election on July 4th. This unexpected announcement comes at a time when many believed the election would be delayed until November. The move has sparked a flurry of reactions and speculation about the motivations behind such timing.Key Insights from the EpisodeShock and Speculation: Steve O'Neill, expressed his surprise at the timing, noting that many expected a November election. Tonye Altrade, suggested that recent economic news, particularly regarding inflation, might have influenced Sunak's decision.Labour's Preparedness: The general consensus among the pundits, including Mike Holden and Corey Bernard, is that the Labour Party should be ready for this early election call. Keir Starmer's calm and pragmatic response indicates that Labour is poised for the challenge, despite the unexpected timing.Impact of Voter ID Laws: The discussion also touched on the new voter ID laws, a controversial topic that could potentially disenfranchise certain voter demographics, notably the young and economically disadvantaged. This issue, reminiscent of similar debates in the US, adds another layer of complexity to the upcoming election.Conservative Party Dynamics: The panel speculated on the internal dynamics of the Conservative Party and the potential candidates for leadership post-election. The focus was on whether the party will shift further to the right or see a resurgence of One Nation Tories.Electoral Strategy and Policy: The conversation highlighted the strategic moves both major parties need to make in the coming weeks. Labour's stance on Gaza and the Middle East, as well as the Conservative Party's handling of immigration and economic issues, will likely play crucial roles in swaying public opinion.Memorable Quotes"Even throughout until about midday today, I was saying no, it'll be November. Everyone's getting overly excited. But I was completely wrong." - Steve O'Neill"This is his best shot at it. I don't know if it's going to be enough, but it is worth a gamble." - Tonye Altrade"First off, I don't even think you should be holding the election on July 4th, but let's leave that aside for now." - Mike Donoghue"I think the Labour Party should be raring to go, then it, that would be a disaster." - Corey Bernard"Every picture that you've seen has been a sodden looking downbeat man." - Mike HoldenFurther ReadingBBC News: Rishi Sunak Calls July 4th ElectionEconomist Report: UK Economic Indicators and Election Timing

In Glen's Steps: A Journey with Dementia is a deeply personal and heartfelt podcast series that explores the impact of dementia on Glenroy Brown, a man of remarkable character, and his family. Through candid conversations, personal reflections, and expert insights, we share the journey of his life, from his early years in Jamaica to his current experiences with dementia. This series offers an intimate look at the challenges, changes, and unexpected joys that come with living with this condition, providing support and understanding to families facing similar challenges.

In this episode of Mid Atlantic, host Roifield Brown dives deep into the unfolding crisis in Haiti, a nation with a rich yet tumultuous history. From its days as the world's richest colony to becoming the first black republic and now one of the poorest countries, Haiti's journey has been marked by resilience against relentless adversity. Joining us to dissect the current civil collapse is Michael John Downey, president and director general of Downey Global Strategies, an expert in geopolitical dynamics. We'll explore the historical roots of Haiti's challenges, the rise of gang violence post the assassination of President Jovenel Moïse, and the humanitarian crisis that has ensued. This episode sheds light on the complexities of Haiti's plight and discusses potential pathways to stability.Show Notes:IntroductionHost: Roifield BrownGuest: Michael John Downey, president and director general of Downey Global StrategiesTopic: The civil collapse of HaitiHistorical ContextHaiti's journey from the richest colony in the Americas to the first black republicIndependence in 1804 after a brutal struggle against French colonial ruleEconomic and political challenges post-independenceModern ChallengesThe devastating 2010 earthquake and its aftermathThe assassination of President Jovenel Moïse in 2021The rise of gang violence and control over critical infrastructureCurrent SituationPrime Minister Ariel Henry's resignation and the leadership vacuumThe international community's response and the role of foreign interventionThe humanitarian crisis: displacement, violence, and lack of basic servicesIn-Depth AnalysisThe role of historical debts and economic policies in Haiti's current stateThe impact of natural disasters compounded by ecological damageThe necessity for international aid and the challenges in its implementationFuture ProspectsPotential solutions and the role of international organisationsThe importance of addressing both immediate needs and long-term stabilityA call for understanding Haiti's plight through its history

Description:In this episode of Mid Atlantic, join host Roifield Brown in Birmingham and guests Leah Brown in Broadstairs, and Tonye Altrade in London, as they analyse the dramatic outcomes of the UK's 2024 local elections. Labour is celebrating its noteworthy victories in the West Midlands and London, while the Conservative Party grapples with significant losses, marking its worst performance since 1996. This episode delves into the implications of these results on national politics, the emerging strength of the Green Party, and the voter backlash against Labour over its stance on Gaza. We also explore the potential strategies and challenges facing each major party as they prepare for the upcoming general election.Show Notes:Labour's Celebrations: The hosts and guests discuss Labour's strategic victories and the boost this gives them as they look towards the upcoming general election. Labour's ability to capture key regions such as the West Midlands, with Richard Parker narrowly defeating incumbent Andy Street, is highlighted as a sign of growing support.Conservative Setbacks: The episode delves into the Conservative Party's significant losses, marking their worst performance since 1996. There's an in-depth analysis of the potential long-term implications for the party and the internal scrutiny on Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s leadership. The discussion includes perspectives on how the Conservatives might strategize to recover from these losses and the notion of potential internal changes within the party.Rising Green and Struggling Reform Parties: The Green Party's notable gains are discussed as indicative of a shift in voter preferences towards more environmentally-focused agendas. Meanwhile, the nascent Reform Party's difficulties in establishing a foothold in the political landscape are also examined.Political Analysis by Guests: Leah and Tonye share their insights on the election results. Leah discusses the slim possibilities for optimism within the Conservative Party, despite the overall negative results, and Tonye offers a critique of Labour's position and its disconnect with certain voter bases, especially within Muslim communities affected by Labour's stance on Gaza.Voter Sentiment and Strategic Implications: The episode also explores broader voter sentiments and strategic shifts within major parties. The hosts and guests debate the potential for Labour to adjust its policies in response to the backlash over Gaza and consider the Conservatives' strategy to delay a general election in hopes of recuperating from their losses.Future of UK Politics: The discussion extends to the potential future scenarios for UK politics, including the role of independent candidates and the implications of voter turnout and new voting requirements.

In this weeks "Mid Atlantic," host Roifield Brown and guest expert Mouin Rabbani explore Palestinian politics, with a special focus on the Palestinian Authority and Fatah under Mahmoud Abbas's leadership. They look at the historical evolution of Fatah, the pivotal roles within the Palestine Liberation Organisation, and the controversial dynamics between the Palestinian factions and Israel. The discussion also touches upon the shifting public opinions and the internal and external pressures reshaping Palestinian governance and aspirations.Show Notes:Introduction to the Topic: Overview of Palestinian politics and the key focus on Mahmoud Abbas and Fatah.Guest Introduction: Mouin Rabbani, former UN Special Envoy to Syria and a contributing editor to the Middle East Report.Historical Context: The establishment of the Palestinian Authority through the Oslo Accords and its intended role.Fatah's Role and Evolution: Analysis of Fatah's foundational principles and its impact on Palestinian politics and the PLO.The Oslo Accords and Beyond: Discussion on the implications of the accords and the subsequent developments in Palestinian governance.Current Challenges and Criticisms: Addressing the issues of legitimacy, effectiveness, and public perception of Mahmoud Abbas’s leadership.The Future of Palestinian Politics: Expert insights into potential political shifts and the role of international interventions.Audience Q&A: Engaging with listeners' questions about the future of the Palestinian state and the broader geopolitical implications.Further ReadingAl Jazeera's "Palestinian Authority President Abbas fires occupied West Bank governors" discusses President Mahmoud Abbas's decision to dismiss several governors in the West Bank, an act seen as an attempt to respond to political dissatisfaction within the region. The article provides insights into the internal political dynamics and the challenges faced by Abbas's administration​ (Al Jazeera)​.WRVO's "What Palestinians in the West Bank think about the war — and Hamas" offers perspectives from Palestinians in the West Bank on their views about Hamas and the broader Israeli-Palestinian conflict. It gives voice to the sentiments of ordinary Palestinians living under the ongoing tensions and their views on the political strategies of their leaders​ (WRVO)​.Another article from Al Jazeera titled "Abbas accused of power grab after Palestinian appointments" reports on accusations against Mahmoud Abbas of consolidating power through strategic appointments within the PLO. This article explores the reactions from various Palestinian factions and the implications for Palestinian politics​ (Al Jazeera)​.The Times of Israel's "Poll: Nearly 80% of Palestinians want Mahmoud Abbas to resign" reflects widespread discontent among Palestinians with Mahmoud Abbas’s leadership, illustrating the significant public pressure he faces amidst ongoing governance challenges​ (The Times of Israel)​.

Welcome to this episode of the MidAtlantic podcast where we look at the news and views for both sides of The Atlantic. I'm your host, Roifield Brown, and joining me today are a panel of keen observers from across the globe: Kate Smurthwaite and Tonye Altrade from London, Michael Donahue from Los Angeles, and Zee Cohen Sanchez tuning in from Nevada. Today we delve into the intricate layers of one of the most unprecedented legal and political dramas in American history. the criminal trial of former President Donald Trump, who faces charges over hush money payments made to adult film actress Stormy Daniels, and its implications not just on American politics but on the global stage. Also later in the show, we will also cover the never-ending career of Liz Truss and her latest endeavour, the book "10 Years to Save the West."

Host Roifield Brown is joined by Michael Kaplow from the Israel Policy Forum in Washington, D.C., to dissect recent developments in Middle Eastern geopolitics. They focus on the intense dynamics following Israel's recent military actions against an Iranian consulate in Syria and the consequential Iranian missile barrage. The episode delves into the international outcry, the debate over the legality of the actions under international law, and the potential repercussions on global diplomacy.The conversation extends to Israel's internal political tension regarding its military service policy, especially concerning the ultra-Orthodox community's long-standing draft exemptions. This internal policy debate is juxtaposed with the external military engagements, providing a comprehensive view of the multifaceted challenges Israel faces both domestically and internationally.As the episode unfolds, Kaplow provides an expert analysis of the strategic missteps and potential paths forward, examining how these might influence wider regional stability and the geopolitical landscape.Talking Points from the Podcast Recent Middle Eastern Turmoil: Discussion of the recent events involving Israel's attack on the Iranian consulate in Syria, followed by Iran's missile response.International Law and Responses: Analysis of the legality of Israel's actions under international law and the global reaction to both Israel's strike and Iran's missile response.Impact of Iranian Strikes: A closer look at the specifics of the Iranian strike, including the types and number of missiles used, and the strategic intent behind the response.Calls for Israeli Restraint: Discussion on the international calls for restraint from Israel, and the potential ramifications of these calls on Israel’s foreign policy and military strategy.Israeli Military Service Plan: Israel's contentious new military service plan, focusing on the debate around ending draft exemptions for the ultra-Orthodox community and how this issue is influencing Israeli politics and society.Shadow War Dynamics: Insights into the ongoing shadow war between Israel and Iran, especially in the context of the Syrian civil war and the presence of Iranian forces in Syria.Israeli Public Reaction: Reflections on how these developments are perceived and reacted to by the Israeli public, including their concerns and expectations for future security and political stability.Future Implications for Regional Stability: Speculation on how these events might influence future Israeli actions, Iranian strategies, and overall stability in the Middle East.Key Quotes from the Episode:Michael Kaplow: "The response with over 300 missiles was nominally proportional, but the real question remains whether Iran intended a serious escalation or a show of force meant to deter without causing substantial damage."Roifield Brown: "The strike on the Iranian consulate has undeniably escalated tensions, but it also seems to be a calculated risk to pull the U.S. into a broader conflict—a move fraught with immense geopolitical risk."Michael Kaplow: "Israel's internal debate over military service is reaching a boiling point, reflecting broader societal divisions that could impact its domestic and international policies."Roifield Brown: "As we navigate through these turbulent times, the interplay between military actions and political strategies is becoming more complex, illustrating the challenges of managing internal dissent while facing external threats."

In this episode of "Mid Atlantic," host Roifield Brown speaks with seasoned journalist and former head of the BBC in London, Jane Mote. They discuss the challenges facing the BBC, including financial pressures from its traditional license fee model and the broader decline of traditional media in the UK amidst digital transformation. Moat emphasises the necessity for the BBC to adapt to changing consumer preferences, where people favour streaming services like Netflix over traditional broadcasting due to brand loyalty.Mote also touches on the BBC's role in creating and maintaining British cultural identity in a globalised media landscape. She points out the organisation's ongoing struggle with maintaining editorial independence amidst political pressures and decreasing audiences. Furthermore, Moat highlights the need for the BBC to foster diverse and inclusive content that truly reflects its audience, critiquing its current shortcomings in diversity and inclusion.Throughout the conversation, they explore the implications of digital media on traditional broadcasting and the BBC's initiatives to stay relevant. Mote advocates for a more dynamic and commercially viable BBC that can continue to serve as a beacon of British culture and journalism.

In the first of the Midatlantic Essays, I explain the failure of privatised water and why we need to bring it back into public ownership.