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Too Big To Fail AI Bubble, Auto Crisis & IPO Boom: 2025’s Biggest Shocks

Ep. 101

U.S. auto sector hit by supplier bankruptcies, fading EV sales, new $160B tariffs hiking housing costs, AI circular financing bubbles, California's new AI safety law, and Brickstorm malware threat targets U.S. tech & legal infrastructure.


🎯 WHAT YOU’LL LEARN:

- The ripple effects of auto bankruptcies

- Why new tariff hikes raise housing & home renovation costs

- Emerging risks from AI circular financing in Big Tech & Too-Big-to-Fail AI

- Key contrasts between California’s AI transparency law and EU’s stricter rules

- How China's Brickstorm malware escalates cyber threat risks for U.S. tech firms

- Why Electronic Arts’ $55B buyout sets new private equity record

- Lithium mining’s growing importance to supply chains amid market growth


📊 Timestamps

00:00 Introduction & Market Overview

00:30 Auto Supplier Bankruptcies & EV Tax Credit End

02:10 Tariffs’ Impact on Housing & Renovations

03:20 Nvidia’s AI Investments & Bubble Risks

05:30 California AI Law vs. EU Regulations

08:00 Google & Mandiant Brickstorm Malware Alert

09:15 Private Market Mega-Deals: Gaming & Healthcare

11:45 Lithium Mining Policy & Supply Chain Updates

13:10 IPO Market Surge & Major Filings

16:00 Closing Analysis & Takeaways


👍 Enjoyed the insights? Like, comment your thoughts, and share with your network!


📚 SOURCES & LINKS:

* New CA AI Law: https://arstechnica.com/ai/2025/09/californias-newly-signed-ai-law-just-gave-big-tech-exactly-what-it-wanted/

* EU Act AI vs CA: https://www.euronews.com/next/2024/09/11/a-big-win-for-the-eu-how-californias-ai-legislation-compares-to-the-eu-ai-act

* Nvidia’s Investment Portfolio: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/26/nvidias-investment-portfolio.html

* Nvidia’s $100B Bet on OpenAI: https://www.reuters.com/business/nvidia-invest-100-billion-openai-2025-09-22/

* Nvidia-OpenAI Bubble Risk: https://fortune.com/2025/09/28/nvidia-openai-circular-financing-ai-bubble/

* OpenAI’s Tangled Dealmaking: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/28/a-look-at-openais-tangled-web-of-dealmaking.html

* Google on Brickstorm Hack: https://cloud.google.com/blog/topics/threat-intelligence/brickstorm-espionage-campaign

* Brickstorm Malware Steals Data: https://www.techradar.com/pro/security/under-the-radar-google-warns-new-brickstorm-malware-was-stealing-data-from-us-firms-for-over-a-year

* Chinese Cyber Campaign: https://cyberscoop.com/chinese-cyberespionage-campaign-brickstorm-mandiant-google/

* Auto Loan Rate Forecast: https://www.bankrate.com/loans/auto-loans/auto-loan-rate-forecast/

* Record Auto Loan Delinquencies: https://www.axios.com/2025/03/07/car-loan-payment-delinquencies-record-high

* Autos in Danger: https://www.wsj.com/business/autos/carmax-profit-plunge-signals-more-pain-ahead-for-tariff-

* Electronic Arts $55B LBO Deal Reuters: https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/electronic-arts-go-private-55-billion-deal-with-pif-silver-lake-2025-09-29/

* IPO Market: https://stockanalysis.com/ipos/2025/

* Lithium Market and Washington Investments AP News: https://apnews.com/article/lithium-mine-nevada-trump-gm-electric-cars-9e343fbe558b57a59697556b41ed840b

* Lithium Equity Stake CNBC: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/24/lithium-americas-lac-equity-stake-trump-stock.html

* First Brands Chapter 11 Bloomberg Law: https://news.bloomberglaw.com/bankruptcy-law/americas-distress-daily-first-brands-files-bankruptcy-case

* Trump's TikTok deal could disrupt content creators and the creator economy: https://deadline.com/2025/09/trump-tiktok-deal-content-creators-impact-1236565669/

* Epic vs Abridge AI Rivalry: https://www.businessinsider.com/inside-messiest-relationship-in-healthcare-ai-abridge-epic-2025-9

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  • 106. PE Storms US Military Contracts, ChatGPT vs Google & TikTok and $11 Insulin Revolution

    12:52||Ep. 106
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    11:19||Ep. 105
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  • 103. Too Big to Fail AI, Trade War, School Lunch Ban & Instagram Teen Crisis

    17:18||Ep. 103
    America’s economy is flashing red—job mobility plunges, credit cracks widen, and AI hype props up GDP as gold hits historic highs and a “Too Big to Fail” AI bubble forms. Meanwhile, the US–China trade war escalates, Meta faces backlash over teen safety, and California bans ultra-processed school lunches.🎯 WHAT YOU’LL LEARN* Five U.S. economic red flags—from collapsing job mobility to a historic gold frenzy.* How OpenAI’s $10T chip web and latest 26 GW deals could shake markets.* Where green energy pullbacks clash with AI’s soaring power demand.* US–China flashpoints: tariffs, export bans, chip smuggling, and retaliation.* The new frontier of regulation: youth markets, Meta’s convenient conscience gaps, and food policy shifts.🔍TIMESTAMPS:00:00 Introduction and Overview00:40 5 Economic Warning Signs06:10 AI’s Circular Financing10:15 Energy vs. AI Power Strain13:00 US–China Trade Scorecard16:10 Selling to Kids: Safety & Food Policy18:10 Takeaways👍 Found value? Like, comment & share so more people see this!📚 SOURCES & DATA:- Historic lows in Americans moving or switching jobs: https://www.wsj.com/economy/american-job-housing-economic-dynamism-d56ef8fc- Jamie Dimon worried about serious market correction: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cg5ej03p604o- PIMCO flags corporate credit market cracks: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/02/borrowers-face-funding-trade-off-as-pimco-flags-debt-market-cracks.html- AI-driven data center investment and GDP: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/without-data-centers-gdp-growth-171546326.html- OpenAI-Broadcom multibillion-dollar chip development deal: https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/openai-broadcom-forge-multibillion-dollar-chip-development-deal-58d930d1?mod=hp_lead_pos3- Commerce Department probe into Nvidia chip smuggling aiding China: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/09/technology/nvidia-chips-china-megaspeed.html- China tariff and export control tensions update: https://apnews.com/article/trump-xi-china-cc47e258cfc6336dfddcc20fa67a3642- AI chip smuggling: https://youtu.be/tFp6JtBTjao - Ambassador Marantis on China trade & geopolitics: https://youtu.be/398ZhSTu8Ng - FCC removes illegal tech: https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/boards-policy-regulation/major-us-online-retailers-remove-listings-millions-prohibited-chinese-2025-10-10/- BLM cancels major Nevada solar project: https://eplanning.blm.gov/eplanning-ui/project/2020804/510- Feds cancel Nevada’s largest solar project: https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/feds-appear-to-cancel-vegas-sized-solar-project-planned-in-rural-nevada- DOE cancels green energy projects: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/02/energy-department-cancels-green-projects-in-united-states.html- New report exposes Instagram teen safety failures: https://fairplayforkids.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/09/Teen-Accounts-Broken-Promises-How-Instagram-is-failing-to-protect-minors.pdf- Meta $115B revenue heavily reliant on youth ad spend: https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2024/01/social-media-platforms-make-11b-in-ad-revenue-from-u-s-teens/- Denmark social media ban for kids under 15: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/oct/07/danish-pm-plans-to-ban-social-media-for-under-15s-warning-it-is-stealing-childhood- California bans ultra-processed foods in schools: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/oct/09/california-ultra-processed-foods-gavien-newsom- Congressional report on school nutrition programs: https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48549- Campaign to protect processed food industry, Big Soda, and petroleum-based dyes: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/oct/19/inside-the-republican-network-behind-big-sodas-bid-to-pit-maga-against-maha
  • 102. Jobs Cool, Food Bites, Sora 2 Drops & AI’s Power Problem 💡⚡

    13:06||Ep. 102
    The U.S. job market is cooling fast, grocery bills are skyrocketing, and OpenAI just dropped a viral AI video tool that’s stirring legal and ethical firestorms. Meanwhile, behind the scenes, AI's ravenous appetite for power threatens our energy grid—and your wallet. This episode unpacks what you need to know NOW.🎯 What You’ll Learn:* Why September saw the largest private-sector job drop in two years, with layoffs near 1M and 2025 hiring plans down 58%.* How grocery prices are ~30% higher than 2020—and why the affordability crunch is structural, not temporary.* What Sora 2 can do, and why its “opt-out” copyright approach is igniting legal fights and creator pushback.* How OpenAI’s Nvidia + AMD deals (up to 6 GW chips by 2026) deepen the AI infrastructure race.* Why utilities see AI as a 30x power demand shock by 2035—and the grid, permitting, and transmission hurdles ahead.📊 Timestamps:00:00 Introduction & US Job Market Overview – September 202500:35 US Job Market: Declines, Layoffs, Openings, Unemployment03:20 Food Prices: 2025 Grocery/Dining Costs & Why It’s Structural05:05 Sora 2 Launch: Copyright “Opt-Out,” Safety & Deception Risks08:10 OpenAI x Nvidia + AMD: Chips, Warrants, and Energy Implications09:30 AI & Energy: 30x Demand, 5–7 Year Transmission Delays, Costs12:40 Takeaway: ROI vs. Grid Limits in the AI Buildout📈 Key Takeaways:* Jobs: Largest monthly decline in 2 years; openings down; unemployment up; layoffs near 2020 highs; small businesses squeezed.* Food: Grocery + dining prices up; 2025 levels ~30% above 2020; affordability crunch persists.* Sora 2: Invite-only in US/Canada; IP “opt-out” backlash; misinformation/evasion risks under scrutiny.* Chips & partners: OpenAI’s Nvidia + AMD tie-ups deepen circular dependencies.* Energy: 30x AI power demand by 2035; 5–7 year transmission delays; permitting, costs, tariffs, and rate pressure.* Bottom line: AI’s ROI faces real-world constraints—power, policy, and protection of IP.👍 Found value? Like, comment & share so more people see this!👇 Subscribe for sharp insights!YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCHrhuWbpYnUwrR75H2Ip4yQApple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/good-revenue/id1707461473Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/44me6PABSQ0k0GfphM70auWeb: https://goodrevenue.io/goodrevenueFollow Neeta: https://www.linkedin.com/in/neetabidwai/📚 SOURCES & DATA:US Jobs Drop 32K: https://mediacenter.adp.com/2025-10-01-ADP-National-Employment-Report-Private-Sector-Employment-Shed-32,000-Jobs-in-September-Annual-Pay-was-Up-4-5US Layoffs Rise as Hiring Slows: https://www.businessinsider.com/job-market-layoffs-firing-hiring-slowdown-recession-job-listings-2025-10What is the BLS and why it matters for US jobs data: https://youtu.be/5fDKy7xxuYsGovernment Shutdown Halts Jobs Report: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-03/us-government-shutdown-stops-jobs-report-but-labor-market-seen-slowingUSDA Food Inflation Trends: https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/food-price-outlook/summary-findingsFull list: