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Frontrunner - 10th March 2023
World wheat futures markets continued to fall this week and have now lost 14% of their value since the end of 2022. The primary drivers for the market negativity are twofold. Firstly, the ongoing competition from cheap Russian wheat exports following Russia’s record 2022 wheat crop; and secondly, a strong belief the Ukraine Black Sea export deal with Russia and the UN will renew at the end of next week. If this is the case, Ukraine will continue to ship cheaply offered wheat, corn and other grains on world markets. This makes it likely the US, the EU and other major exporters will be left with burdensome year end stocks.
During current intense volatility, markets can move significantly - sometimes in a matter of minutes and outside regular hours. Our MyFarm platform is free to Frontier customers and offers 24-7 access to market information and live grain prices, as well as the option to sell grain at a time that's more convenient. Find out more: www.frontierag.co.uk/myfarminfo
For other topical updates and advice from our experts, subscribe to our blog: www.frontierag.co.uk/blog/subscribe
Follow Frontier Agriculture on Twitter at www.twitter.com/FrontierAg
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Frontrunner - 9th June 2023
12:21The world’s wheat futures fell to new multi-month lows last week, with London wheat dropping to its lowest value since mid-January 2022. However, a combination of weather-related factors and concerns for the security of supplies from the Black Sea helped deliver five consecutive days of positive closing prices and an overall gain of around 9% from this low. During current intense volatility, markets can move significantly - sometimes in a matter of minutes and outside regular hours. Our MyFarm platform is free to Frontier customers and offers 24-7 access to market information and live grain prices, as well as the option to sell grain at a time that's more convenient. Find out more: www.frontierag.co.uk/myfarminfoFor other topical updates and advice from our experts, subscribe to our blog: www.frontierag.co.uk/blog/subscribeFollow Frontier Agriculture on Twitter at www.twitter.com/FrontierAFrontrunner - 2nd June 2023
11:00For most of this week wheat values have remained on the defensive with London International Financial Futures and Options Exchange (LIFFE), Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) and Marche A Terme International de France (MATIF) all falling to their lowest point in over a year. Without much bullish news traders continued to add to their short positions after the small bounce in prices last week.During current intense volatility, markets can move significantly - sometimes in a matter of minutes and outside regular hours. Our MyFarm platform is free to Frontier customers and offers 24-7 access to market information and live grain prices, as well as the option to sell grain at a time that's more convenient. Find out more: www.frontierag.co.uk/myfarminfoFor other topical updates and advice from our experts, subscribe to our blog: www.frontierag.co.uk/blog/subscribeFollow Frontier Agriculture on Twitter at www.twitter.com/FrontierAgFrontrunner - 26th May 2023
12:10World wheat markets continued to fall this week, following Russia’s agreement to extend the Black Sea export corridor deal until the 17th July. Prospects of a continued flow of Ukrainian wheat have kept speculative sellers active. Encouraging data for improved crop potential in both the US and EU added to the market negativity. US winter wheat condition gained two points to 31% now rated ‘good/excellent’ and US corn planting reached 81% completion - up 16 points on the week, which is six points ahead of the five-year average. During current intense volatility, markets can move significantly - sometimes in a matter of minutes and outside regular hours. Our MyFarm platform is free to Frontier customers and offers 24-7 access to market information and live grain prices, as well as the option to sell grain at a time that's more convenient. Find out more: www.frontierag.co.uk/myfarminfoFor other topical updates and advice from our experts, subscribe to our blog: www.frontierag.co.uk/blog/subscribeFollow Frontier Agriculture on Twitter at www.twitter.com/FrontierAgFrontrunner - 19th May 2023
12:12Late last Friday, the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) published its first look at the world’s 2023-24 grain balance sheets, with a contrasting outlook for wheat and corn. World wheat production is seen rising by 1.5 million tonnes up to 789.76 million tonnes, but year-end stocks will fall by two million tonnes down to 264.34 million tonnes – this will be the lowest for seven years. During current intense volatility, markets can move significantly - sometimes in a matter of minutes and outside regular hours. Our MyFarm platform is free to Frontier customers and offers 24-7 access to market information and live grain prices, as well as the option to sell grain at a time that's more convenient. Find out more: www.frontierag.co.uk/myfarminfoFor other topical updates and advice from our experts, subscribe to our blog: www.frontierag.co.uk/blog/subscribeFollow Frontier Agriculture on Twitter at www.twitter.com/FrontierAgFrontrunner - 12th May 2023
14:06Last week’s wheat price gains were quickly lost this week as the weight of old crop stocks, demand concerns and improving 2023 production prospects motivated selling interest. Despite uncertainty surrounding the renewal of the Black Sea export corridor deal and increased hostility from Russia towards Ukraine, eastern EU states are heavy with previously imported Ukrainian supplies. During current intense volatility, markets can move significantly - sometimes in a matter of minutes and outside regular hours. Our MyFarm platform is free to Frontier customers and offers 24-7 access to market information and live grain prices, as well as the option to sell grain at a time that's more convenient. Find out more: www.frontierag.co.uk/myfarminfoFor other topical updates and advice from our experts, subscribe to our blog: www.frontierag.co.uk/blog/subscribeFollow Frontier Agriculture on Twitter at www.twitter.com/FrontierAgFrontrunner - 5th May 2023
11:55World wheat futures dropped again this week, extending their 2023 losing streak. US Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) figures dropped to their lowest since December 2020 and London old crop futures struck a new contract low which was almost half the peak price it achieved during May last year.Russian wheat exports remain the primary negative price driver, dominating world trade with an estimated five million tonnes shipped during April alone, taking the season’s total above 37 million tonnes. Analysts see over 44 million tonnes likely to be shipped by the end of the season on 30th June.During current intense volatility, markets can move significantly - sometimes in a matter of minutes and outside regular hours. Our MyFarm platform is free to Frontier customers and offers 24-7 access to market information and live grain prices, as well as the option to sell grain at a time that's more convenient. Find out more: www.frontierag.co.uk/myfarminfoFor other topical updates and advice from our experts, subscribe to our blog: www.frontierag.co.uk/blog/subscribeFollow Frontier Agriculture on Twitter at www.twitter.com/FrontierAgFrontrunner - 28th April 2023
13:36This week, Canada’s national statistical office, Statistics Canada (StatsCan), published its first look at 2023 Canadian crop potential and farmer planting intentions. Canadian farmers are set to increase their wheat area by around 6% on last year, to 27 million acres. If realised, this would be the largest drilled area since 2001. This potential boost to global supplies exceeded trade expectations and added to the market price negativity. During current intense volatility, markets can move significantly - sometimes in a matter of minutes and outside regular hours. Our MyFarm platform is free to Frontier customers and offers 24-7 access to market information and live grain prices, as well as the option to sell grain at a time that's more convenient. Find out more: www.frontierag.co.uk/myfarminfoFor other topical updates and advice from our experts, subscribe to our blog: www.frontierag.co.uk/blog/subscribeFollow Frontier Agriculture on Twitter at www.twitter.com/FrontierAgFrontrunner - 21st April 2023
12:19Wheat futures markets rose sharply earlier this week, with traders concerned over the flow of grain from the Black Sea. Prices increased by around 6%, with Russia casting doubt on its renewal of the Ukraine Black Sea export deal next month. Subject to the terms of the deal, vessels entering or exiting the Ukrainian Black Sea must be inspected. However, Russia has blocked inspections as vessels passed through Turkish waters for a second day, which has prompted Ukraine to say that the export deal is at danger of collapse. Russia warned that prospects of an extension to the deal will be low once its previous 60-day extension ends in the middle of May unless certain criteria are met in respect to Western sanctions. Russia’s Minister of Foreign Affairs, Sergey Lavrov, will meet UN representatives next week. During current intense volatility, markets can move significantly - sometimes in a matter of minutes and outside regular hours. Our MyFarm platform is free to Frontier customers and offers 24-7 access to market information and live grain prices, as well as the option to sell grain at a time that's more convenient. Find out more: www.frontierag.co.uk/myfarminfoFor other topical updates and advice from our experts, subscribe to our blog: www.frontierag.co.uk/blog/subscribeFollow Frontier Agriculture on Twitter at www.twitter.com/FrontierAgFrontrunner - 14th April 2023
10:17This week, London wheat futures fell to their lowest since the beginning of 2022. Lower-than-expected use in both the animal feed and bioethanol sectors has created a heavy domestic balance sheet. This, combined with scarce export opportunity, has put pressure on prices and led to a notable discount on new crop.During current intense volatility, markets can move significantly - sometimes in a matter of minutes and outside regular hours. Our MyFarm platform is free to Frontier customers and offers 24-7 access to market information and live grain prices, as well as the option to sell grain at a time that's more convenient. Find out more: www.frontierag.co.uk/myfarminfoFor other topical updates and advice from our experts, subscribe to our blog: www.frontierag.co.uk/blog/subscribeFollow Frontier Agriculture on Twitter at www.twitter.com/FrontierAg