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Fault Lines
A National Security Institute Podcast
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644. Fault Lines Episode 644: Ballots and Battles: Israeli Elections and the Future of U.S.-Israel Ties
13:26||Ep. 644Today, Jess, Les, John, and Andy break down Israel's first election since the October 7 attacks, with no clear winner yet emerging and multiple outcomes still in play. Security, accountability, and the legacy of the attacks are driving voter sentiment, even as the parliamentary system makes coalition-building the decisive factor. With support for Israel increasingly contested in Washington, the stakes for the bilateral relationship extend well beyond who forms the next government in Jerusalem.How will Israel's electoral outcome shape its ability to prosecute the war and manage the postwar political reckoning? Could a sanctions campaign from Washington — extending beyond weapons restrictions to trade and financial penalties — fundamentally reorder the U.S.-Israel relationship? If Israel can no longer take bipartisan support in Washington for granted, what does that mean for its security—and where else can it turn?Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.@lestermunson@NotTVJessJones@JohnCLipsey@AndyKeiserLike what we're doing here? Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe. And don't forget to follow @faultlines_pod and @masonnatsec on Twitter!We are also on YouTube; watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/Xy2Uduq0HYE
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643. Fault Lines Episode 643: Shifting South: Democracy, Elections, and Alignment in Latin America
17:02||Ep. 643Today, Les, Jess, John, and Andrew take stock of a turbulent electoral moment across Latin America. Lula's victory in Brazil marks a leftward shift in the region's largest economy at a time when recent Latin American elections have swung conservative — driven by economic frustration and deteriorating security conditions. Meanwhile, in Venezuela, a quiet diplomatic revolution is underway: following the arrest of Maduro, Delcy Rodríguez is now coordinating with Washington on oil flows, and U.S.-led talks in Caracas last week produced a framework that includes political reforms installing a new supreme court. This development accompanies the return of popular opposition leader, María Corina Machado, to Venezuela after nearly 10 months in exile.What does Lula's victory mean for U.S. national security interests in the region, and is the so-called Donroe Doctrine delivering results? Is the broader conservative wave in Latin America a durable ideological shift or simply anti-incumbent backlash? With Venezuela's political future now hinging on a fragile U.S.-backed transition, what is a realistic timeline for credible elections? Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.@lestermunson@NotTVJessJones@JohnCLipsey@AndrewBoreneLike what we're doing here? Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe. And don't forget to follow @faultlines_pod and @masonnatsec on Twitter!We are also on YouTube; watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/NsL4BYH4oL0
642. Fault Lines Episode 642: AI vs AI: Cybersecurity, Disruption, and the New National Security Economy
19:06||Ep. 642Today, John, Les, and Jess dig into the accelerating collision between artificial intelligence and cybersecurity as businesses scramble to respond to a wave of attacks over the last 48 hours. From AI agents operating autonomously inside U.S. bank accounts to unpatched vulnerabilities quietly spreading through critical systems, the threat environment may be growing faster than institutions can adapt. Meanwhile, AI companies are rapidly becoming essential economic and national security infrastructure, and the foreign policy implications are only beginning to surface.Are governments and the private sector moving fast enough to get ahead of these cybersecurity risks before they cause systemic economic damage? As AI firms grow indispensable to U.S. economic and security interests, will politics constrain their ability to generate the revenue needed to sustain that role? Are militarized labradoodles the future of national security?Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.@lestermunson@NotTVJessJones@JohnCLipseyLike what we're doing here? Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe. And don't forget to follow @faultlines_pod and @masonnatsec on Twitter!We are also on YouTube; watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/VIEeq7KMft0?si=JGWHkWeJzpQWV951
641. Fault Lines Episode 641: Protests in France: Guns vs. Beurre
19:44||Ep. 641Today, Jess, Les, John, and Andrew examine the wave of riots sweeping France and what they reveal about the country's deepening political and strategic dysfunction. What began as student protests over school conditions has exploded into widespread unrest over cost of living and quality of life, with looting, clashes with police, and demonstrations now spreading to other parts of Europe. With a presidential election on the horizon, France's political future is anything but certain.What do these riots signal about France's capacity to govern itself and contribute meaningfully to NATO? With France falling short on defense investment, can it credibly lead in an era when the United States is no longer willing to carry the alliance? How are adversaries like Russia exploiting French instability to weaken European cohesion?Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.@lestermunson@NotTVJessJones@JohnCLipsey@AndrewBoreneLike what we're doing here? Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe. And don't forget to follow @faultlines_pod and @masonnatsec on Twitter!We are also on YouTube; watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/E1YU9fDcc2A
640. Fault Lines Episode 640: Trump, Putin, Xi, and a Deal Without Kyiv?
16:05||Ep. 640Today, Les, Jess, John, and Amy dig into the accelerating — and increasingly chaotic — diplomacy surrounding the Russia-Ukraine war. Trump announced an energy ceasefire barring strikes on oil infrastructure — then waived sanctions on Russian energy production — only for Russia to launch a massive attack on Ukraine the very next day. Now, reports are surfacing that Putin is floating a trilateral summit with Trump and Xi to determine Ukraine's future — with no Ukrainian officials at the table.Would a Trump-Putin-Xi summit represent a genuine path to peace or a capitulation dressed up as diplomacy? What does the energy ceasefire's immediate collapse reveal about Moscow's intentions and Washington's leverage? If Ukraine is excluded from talks over its own fate, what leverage does Kyiv have left?Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.@lestermunson@NotTVJessJones@JohnCLipsey@amykmitchellLike what we're doing here? Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe. And don't forget to follow @faultlines_pod and @masonnatsec on Twitter!We are also on YouTube; watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/dFA0d_1RTIA
639. Fault Lines Episode 639: A Rupture Over Russia
21:27||Ep. 639Today, John, Andy, and Marc dig into the deepening rupture between the Trump administration and Ukrainian President Zelensky. After Trump announced a deal to allow Russian diesel into U.S. markets — following weeks of pressure on Ukraine to halt strikes on Russian refineries — Zelensky publicly condemned the agreement, prompting Trump to call for a new Ukrainian president. Reports have since emerged of restricted intelligence sharing with Kyiv and speed throttling on Starlink and Starshield, with the White House denying direct involvement even as the damage mounts.What does the withholding of battlefield intelligence signal to U.S. allies about American reliability? Is the diesel deal a genuine strategic calculation, or a diversion from the administration's broader frustrations with the war's stalemate? How does this rupture affect allied confidence in U.S. commitments at a moment when NATO cohesion is already under strain?Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.@JohnCLipsey@AndyKeiser@WashingtonFlackLike what we're doing here? Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe. And don't forget to follow @faultlines_pod and @masonnatsec on Twitter!We are also on YouTube; watch today's episode here:
638. Fault Lines Episode 638: Sovereign Territory: Enclaves, Empires, and the Limits of Self-Determination
17:06||Ep. 638Today, John, Les, Jess, and Jamil take stock of a world where territorial sovereignty is suddenly anything but settled. From Spain's enclaves of Ceuta and Melilla — where a social media-driven migration crisis has Spanish polls showing 60% fear armed conflict with Morocco — to Argentina's renewed challenge to British rule in the Falklands, to the United States openly pressuring Denmark over Greenland, longstanding arrangements are being tested from multiple directions simultaneously. Complicating the picture further, Israel has shuttered the UK's consulate in response to British sanctions over settlement activity. Who is actually driving instability in these contested territories, and to what end? How do Western powers reconcile championing self determination while guarding sovereignty over their distant enclaves? Should the U.S. stand for universal principles or prioritize competition with Russia and China over strategic geography and resources?Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.@lestermunson@JohnCLipsey@NotTVJessJones@jamil_n_jafferLike what we're doing here? Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe. And don't forget to follow @faultlines_pod and @masonnatsec on Twitter!We are also on YouTube; watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/O27_Tz_A2Tg