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cover art for Half year market wrap, the worst investing take,  struggling Australian media & Pimp My Portfolio

Equity Mates Investing Podcast

Half year market wrap, the worst investing take, struggling Australian media & Pimp My Portfolio

Season 9, Ep. 76

In today’s episode we:

  • discuss the struggles facing Australian media and unpack the layoffs at Nine
  • look at the best and worst performing stocks for the first half of 2024
  • have a crack at some of the economist predictions that haven’t panned out this year
  • bring back Luke Laretive and a community member to have their portfolio reviewed

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  • Allbirds' brazen move, Saudi’s abandoning LIV golf and Bryce’s investing strategy explained

    33:43||Season 11
    A former sneaker darling reinventing itself as an AI compute business, a Saudi-backed golf league reportedly burning through cash at an eye-watering rate, and a practical look at how Bryce is trying to bring more structure to his stock picking. It’s a sharp reminder that markets can get irrational fast and that having a repeatable investment process matters when the noise gets loud.In this episode:00:00 - Allbirds' ditches shoes for AI07:47 - Why LIV Golf may be running out of runway14:39 - Bryce's new investment process18:40 - Using the four step stock checklist20:43 - DCFs, fair value and testing assumptions23:35 - Cooling-off periods and writing theses27:23 - Running the current portfolio through the framework31:12 - Why being directionally right matters more than perfect modelsETFs & stocks mentioned: Allbirds (NASDAQ: BIRD), NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Pro Medicus (ASX: PME), Duolingo (NASDAQ: DUOL), Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY), Axon Enterprise (NASDAQ: AXON), Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: EA)DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) Formula: a valuation method that determines an investment's current value by projecting its future cash flows and discounting them back to the present using a specific rate. It helps determine if an investment, project, or asset is worth its current cost, with primary applications in capital budgeting, company valuation, and stock analysis. ———Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a messageAnd come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.———Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we’ve got you covered.Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)We’re particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis PointsListen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)Watch on YouTubeRead the monthly email———Looking for some of our favourite research tools?Download our free Basics of ETF handbookOr our free 4-step stock checklistFind company information on TIKRResearch reports from Good ResearchTrack your portfolio with Sharesight———In the spirit of reconciliation, Equity Mates Media and the hosts of Equity Mates Investing acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. We pay our respects to their elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people today.
  • 4 investors, $100,000: 3 months in, who’s ahead? | Portfolio Challenge

    30:39||Season 11
    Markets started the year strong, then geopolitics hit. With war tensions, oil volatility, and rate expectations shifting fast, the portfolio challenge is already testing conviction. But the real game is what happens next. Will Bryce, Alec, Cam and Ally seek the relief rally or draw down deeper?In this episode: 00:00 – The $25K portfolio challenge explained00:39 – Meet the competitors (and one strategic absence?)03:11 – Market update: rallies, war, and oil shocks08:16 – Bryce’s portfolio: down 5.5% and betting on a rebound13:59 – Cam’s portfolio: uranium pain, long-term conviction20:15 – Ally’s portfolio: biggest losses and tech pivot24:53 – Ren takes the lead (just) and shifts strategy29:24 – Final portfolios locked for the next quarterStocks & ETFs mentioned: Betashares Diversified All Growth ETF (ASX: DHHF), BHP (ASX: BHP), Betashares Japan ETF Currency Hedged (ASX: HJPN), Global X Uranium ETF (URNM), Betashares Global Copper Miners ETF (ASX: WIRE), Betashares NASDAQ 100 ETF (ASX: NDQ), Pro Medicus (ASX: PME), Macquarie Group (ASX: MQG), Betashares Geared Global Equity Fund (ASX: GHHF), Betashares Emerging Markets ETF (ASX: BEMG), REA Group (ASX: REA), Deep Yellow (ASX: DYL), Paladin Energy (ASX: PDN), Betashares Global Cybersecurity ETF (ASX: HACK), Betashares Global Defence ETF (ASX: ARMR), Betashares Asia Technology Tigers ETF (ASX: ASIA), Webjet (ASX: WEB), Betashares China Innovation ETF (ASX: DRGN), Betashares India Quality ETF (ASX: IIND), Sandfire Resources (ASX: SFR), Pilbara Minerals (ASX: PLS), Mineral Resources (ASX: MIN), Global X Energy Producers ETF (ASX: FUEL), 4DMedical (ASX: 4DX), Telix Pharmaceuticals (ASX: TLX)Betashares Capital Ltd (ABN 78 139 566 868 AFSL 341181) is the issuer of the Betashares Funds, as well as Betashares Invest, the IDPS-like scheme available via Betashares Direct. Read the relevant Product Disclosure Statement and Target Market Determination, available at www.betashares.com.au, before making an investment decision. This information is general in nature and doesn’t take into account any person’s financial objectives, situation or needs. You should consider its appropriateness taking into account such factors and seek professional financial advice.———Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a messageAnd come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.———Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we’ve got you covered.Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)We’re particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis PointsListen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)Watch on YouTubeRead the monthly email———Looking for some of our favourite research tools?Download our free Basics of ETF handbookOr our free 4-step stock checklistFind company information on TIKRResearch reports from Good ResearchTrack your portfolio with Sharesight———In the spirit of reconciliation, Equity Mates Media and the hosts of Equity Mates Investing acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. We pay our respects to their elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peopletoday.———Equity Mates Investing is a product of Equity Mates Media.
  • Crisis at Aston Martin, a new ETF pitch & Pimp my Portfolio with Luke Laretive

    29:16||Season 11
    Bryce and Ren break down Aston Martin’s cash crunch, check in on a community portfolio that’s outperforming, and hear a timely pitch for an EV ETF as fuel prices reshape consumer behaviour. Then Luke Laretive returns with a sharp portfolio review full of lessons on concentration, overlap and investing young.In this episode:00:00 Episode Preview & Intro01:46 Iran War Market Impact04:44 Aston Martin Crisis Explained08:10 Luxury Brands: Winners vs Losers09:10 Community Portfolio09:42 Portfolio Performance Update11:59 Josh’s Investing Story & Pitch13:28 EV ETF Pitch (DRIV)13:56 EV Demand Data16:21 Risks of the EV Boom18:29 Pimp My Portfolio with Luke Laretive19:13 Lachie's Portfolio Breakdown21:02 Luke's First Impressions22:01 Infratil (IFT) Deep Dive24:24 Other Stock Picks Critiqued26:15 ETF Fees and Overlap Discussed27:20 Final Thoughts & Wrap UpStocks & ETFs mentioned: Betashares Diversified All Growth ETF (ASX: DHHF), Betashares Electric Vehicles and Future Mobility ETF (ASX: DRIV), Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Telix Pharmaceuticals (ASX: TLX), Pro Medicus (ASX: PME), Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT), Global X AI Infrastructure ETF, Catapult (ASX: CAT), Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), BYD, Infratil (ASX: IFT), Air New Zealand, Kingfish, Ryman Healthcare (NZX: RYM), BHP (ASX: BHP), IGO (ASX: IGO), Pilbara Minerals (ASX: PLS), Delta Lithium (ASX: DLI)———Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a messageAnd come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.———Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we’ve got you covered.Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)We’re particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis PointsListen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)Watch on YouTubeRead the monthly email———Looking for some of our favourite research tools?Download our free Basics of ETF handbookOr our free 4-step stock checklistFind company information on TIKRResearch reports from Good ResearchTrack your portfolio with Sharesight———In the spirit of reconciliation, Equity Mates Media and the hosts of Equity Mates Investing acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. We pay our respects to their elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peopletoday.———Equity Mates Investing is a product of Equity Mates Media.
  • Ask an Adviser: Why earlier is better for life insurance with Phil Thompson

    35:32||Season 11
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  • Wall Street’s secret agent, talking super with your parents & Buy or Sell is back

    29:04||Season 11
    Markets ripped higher on hopes of a fragile ceasefire, but beneath the relief rally there’s still plenty of chaos to unpack. Bryce and Allly Selby dig into Bill Ackman’s audacious bid for Universal Music, a wild Wall Street research mission through the Strait of Hormuz, and a community question on how to talk to retired parents about super during volatile markets. Then they finish with a rapid-fire buy or sell with Bryce giving his take on five stocks making headlines right now.Subscribe now to catch Ally's new show Buy or Sell launching this Friday April 17th on Youtube or wherever you get your podcasts.In this episode:00:00 War, Markets & Big Stories04:05 Bill Ackman’s Music Industry Bet05:51 Wild Wall St Analyst Spy Mission12:26 Community question: How to talk to parents about Super19:06 Buy or Sell Is Returning21:10 Buy or Sell: DroneShield22:27 Buy or Sell: Guzman y Gomez23:27 Buy or Sell: NextDC24:39 Buy or Sell: Liberty Media26:07 Buy or Sell: Dealer's ChoiceStocks & ETFs mentioned: Universal Music Group (AMS: UMG), Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC), Brent Crude, West Texas Intermediate, United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ: UAL), Qantas Airways (ASX: QAN), DroneShield (ASX: DRO), Guzman y Gomez (ASX: GYG), NEXTDC (ASX: NXT), Liberty Media Formula One, SK Hynix (KRX: 000660), BetaShares Asia Technology Tigers ETF (ASX: ASIA), Global X Artificial Intelligence ETF (ASX: AIQ), DHHF (ASX: DHHF)———Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a messageAnd come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.———Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we’ve got you covered.Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)We’re particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis PointsListen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)Watch on YouTubeRead the monthly email———Looking for some of our favourite research tools?Download our free Basics of ETF handbookOr our free 4-step stock checklistFind company information on TIKRResearch reports from Good ResearchTrack your portfolio with Sharesight———In the spirit of reconciliation, Equity Mates Media and the hosts of Equity Mates Investing acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. We pay our respects to their elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peopletoday.———Equity Mates Investing is a product of Equity Mates Media.
  • Finding opportunities in well-known names with Ryan Joyce

    41:57||Season 11
    Bryce and Alec sit down with Magellan Investment Partners’ Ryan Joyce to unpack why some of the best opportunities can be found in the world’s biggest, most familiar companies. From TSMC and Booking Holdings to Dollar General and Apple, this is a masterclass in quality, patience, valuation discipline and the power of backing businesses with durable moats.In this episode:00:00 – Why the best investments can be hiding in plain sight01:37 – Ryan Joyce’s first investing lessons: Orsenko and realestate.com04:08 – Magellan’s philosophy: quality, concentration and valuation discipline07:18 – Why big, well-known stocks still get mispriced10:57 – Finding an edge when everyone has the same information17:01 – Portfolio balance, volatility and stock selection18:38 – TSMC, Dollar General and Booking Holdings: three stock case studies38:14 – Apple, investing resources and Ryan’s advice for young investorsETFs & Stocks mentioned:Magellan Global Opportunities Fund (ASX: OPPT), REA Group (ASX: REA), Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX), Mastercard (NYSE: MA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE: TSM), NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO), AMD (NASDAQ: AMD), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ: MRVL), Arm Holdings (NASDAQ: ARM), Intel (NASDAQ: INTC), Samsung Electronics, Dollar General (NYSE: DG), Dollar Tree (NASDAQ: DLTR), Walmart (NYSE: WMT), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Booking Holdings (NASDAQ: BKNG), Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM)———Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a messageAnd come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.———Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we’ve got you covered.Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)We’re particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis PointsListen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)Watch on YouTubeRead the monthly email———Looking for some of our favourite research tools?Download our free Basics of ETF handbookOr our free 4-step stock checklistFind company information on TIKRResearch reports from Good ResearchTrack your portfolio with Sharesight———In the spirit of reconciliation, Equity Mates Media and the hosts of Equity Mates Investing acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. We pay our respects to their elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peopletoday.———Equity Mates Investing is a product of Equity Mates Media.
  • Property prices under pressure, 3 stocks buzzing on X & a “no-brainer” Community Portfolio pitch

    31:00||Season 11
    While uncertainty rattles markets, X is buzzing with bold stock calls and 10x claims. In this episode, we break down what’s actually moving markets, where the risks are building, and whether the hottest stocks online are real opportunities, or just noise. Plus, community member Ash pitches a Mag7 stock for the Community Portfolio.In this episode:00:00 Market Shake-up: Housing, War & Super Changes02:13 Auction Clearance Rates Plunge: What’s Driving It?04:08 Will Australian Property Fall in 2026?04:48 Iran conflict: Ceasefire Hopes vs Escalation Risk07:01 Australia's Fuel Supply Warning07:45 E-Bike Demand Surge08:36 AustralianSuper Portfolio Changes Explained11:35 X Marks the Stock Returns12:40 Bill Ackman Sparks Fannie & Freddie Frenzy16:35 The X Hype Stocks: Space, AI & Infrastructure Plays23:49 Community Portfolio 'No Brainer' Pitch25:31 Ash Pitches Alphabet27:09 Why Alphabet Still Wins28:15 Apple vs Google Debate28:52 Community Portfolio Decision: Buy or Pass?ETFs & Stocks mentioned in this episode:CSL (ASX: CSL), James Hardie (ASX: JHX), Woolworths (ASX: WOW), Wesfarmers (ASX: WES), Commonwealth Bank (ASX: CBA), BHP (ASX: BHP), Telstra (ASX: TLS), Mineral Resources (ASX: MIN), Pilbara Minerals (ASX: PLS), Cochlear (ASX: COH), Fannie Mae (OTC: FNMA), Freddie Mac (OTC: FMCC), AST SpaceMobile (NASDAQ: ASTS), Nebius (NASDAQ: NBIS), Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB)———Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a messageAnd come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.———Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we’ve got you covered.Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)We’re particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis PointsListen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)Watch on YouTubeRead the monthly email———Looking for some of our favourite research tools?Download our free Basics of ETF handbookOr our free 4-step stock checklistFind company information on TIKRResearch reports from Good ResearchTrack your portfolio with Sharesight———In the spirit of reconciliation, Equity Mates Media and the hosts of Equity Mates Investing acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. We pay our respects to their elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peopletoday.———Equity Mates Investing is a product of Equity Mates Media.
  • “There’s always a bull market somewhere in small caps” - Tobias Bucks

    49:00||Season 11
    If the last decade was about buying growth at any price, this episode is a reminder that valuations still matter. Tobias Bucks (Ausbil) returns to Equity Mates to explain why the next winners may come from overlooked global small caps tied to electrification, defence, data centres and the rebuild of the grid.In this episode:0:00 What Tobias has changed his mind on3:14 Growth investing biases and why valuation matters9:04 Where the bull markets still exist in small caps12:04 AI infrastructure boom: are we near peak CapEx?18:03 Tobias’ investing process: finding quality small caps25:25 Stock deep dive: Mueller Industries36:06 Stock deep dive: NKTETFs & Stocks mentioned: Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD), Ausbil Global Small Caps Fund, Ausbil Global Small Cap ETF, Mueller Industries (NYSE: MLI), NKT (CPH: NKT), Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Oracle (NYSE: ORCL), NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA), Prysmian (BIT: PRY), Nexans (EPA: NEX), S&P 500 Index (INDEXSP: INX)This episode features insights from Ausbil Investment Management. Please refer to Ausbil’s disclaimer here.———Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a messageAnd come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.———Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we’ve got you covered.Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)We’re particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis PointsListen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)Watch on YouTubeRead the monthly email———Looking for some of our favourite research tools?Download our free Basics of ETF handbookOr our free 4-step stock checklistFind company information on TIKRResearch reports from Good ResearchTrack your portfolio with Sharesight———In the spirit of reconciliation, Equity Mates Media and the hosts of Equity Mates Investing acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. We pay our respects to their elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peopletoday.———Equity Mates Investing is a product of Equity Mates Media.
  • Koala, SpaceX, Eli Lilly, Nike, Anthropic & Pimp my Portfolio with Owen Rask

    29:09||Season 11
    A huge week in markets, from SpaceX gearing up for the biggest IPO in history to Nike’s sharp sell-off and a major AI code leak at Anthropic. Add in Eli Lilly’s latest move in the weight-loss drug race, and there’s no shortage of company news investors need to understand right now. Plus, Owen Rask unpacks Jonathan's portfolio.In this episode: 00:00 Koala IPO Breakdown02:57 SpaceX IPO Speculation04:36 Eli Lilly Weight Loss Pill06:17 Nike Stock Drops Hard07:36 Anthropic Code Leak Shock09:39 Iran Conflict Market Impact10:33 Why You Stay Invested13:21 Pimp My Portfolio with Owen Rask13:52 John’s Portfolio Breakdown16:53 Owen’s First Impressions18:22 Concentration Risk Explained20:28 Bond ETF Strategy22:03 Portfolio Growth Focus23:35 Gold & Defence Strategy26:22 Geographic DiversificationStocks & ETFs mentioned: Koala (ASX: KLA), SpaceX, Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY), Nike (NYSE: NKE), Anthropic, Bitcoin———Want to get involved in the podcast? Record a voice note or send us a messageAnd come and join the conversation in the Equity Mates Facebook Discussion Group.———Want more Equity Mates? Across books, podcasts, video and email, however you want to learn about investing – we’ve got you covered.Keep up with the news moving markets with our daily newsletter and podcast (Apple | Spotify)We’re particularly excited to share our latest show: Basis PointsListen to the podcast (Apple | Spotify)Watch on YouTubeRead the monthly email———Looking for some of our favourite research tools?Download our free Basics of ETF handbookOr our free 4-step stock checklistFind company information on TIKRResearch reports from Good ResearchTrack your portfolio with Sharesight———In the spirit of reconciliation, Equity Mates Media and the hosts of Equity Mates Investing acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of country throughout Australia and their connections to land, sea and community. We pay our respects to their elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peopletoday.———Equity Mates Investing is a product of Equity Mates Media.