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What a commodity supercycle would mean for Australia - Greg Cassidy | Milford

Season 1

Commodity markets are back in focus.


Gold has more than doubled in recent years. Lithium has flipped from surplus to deficit and iron ore continues to quietly underpin the Australian economy.


So, is this the start of something bigger, like a commodity super-cycle?


In this episode, we’re joined by Greg Cassidy, Senior Analyst at Milford, to unpack the forces driving the global resource rally and what it means for adviser portfolios.


We cover:

  • The three macro forces behind the surge: deglobalisation, decarbonisation and AI.
  • The outlook for LNG.
  • Why iron ore still matters most for Australia’s budget and equity index.
  • Greg’s key takeaway for advisers: why “you should own resources” and how to think about active vs passive exposure in a volatile sector.


Chapters:

00:00:00 Introduction

00:04:10 Three Drivers Of The Rally

00:09:05 Supply Constraints And M&A Activity

00:11:04 Australia In The US China Split

00:14:13 Gold And Real Assets

00:16:18 Commodities To Watch Now

00:18:23 Copper’s Structural Deficit

00:20:10 Lithium Volatility Explained

00:22:32 LNG Supply And Demand

00:25:34 Australia’s Key Export Exposures

00:29:56 Portfolio Positioning For Advisers

00:33:43 Avoiding Resource Investing Mistakes


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CPD Points: This episode is accredited for the following CPD points by the Financial Advice Association of Australia (FAAA). Complete the quiz here to claim your points.

0.05 Total Hours

Knowledge Requirements: Managed Investments (0.50 hour) Legislated CPD Area: Technical Competence (0.50 hour)


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This podcast is intended for education and entertainment purposes. Any advice is general advice only, and has not taken into account your personal financial circumstances, needs objectives. Before acting on general advice, you should consider if it is relevant to your needs and read the relevant Product Disclosure Statement. And if you are unsure, please speak to a financial professional.

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Equity Trustees Limited (“Equity Trustees”) (ABN 46 004 031 298), AFSL 240975, is the Responsible Entity for the Milford Australian Absolute Growth Fund, Milford Corporate Bond Plus Fund, Milford Australian Active 100 Fund, and Milford Dynamic Small Companies Fund. Before you invest, be sure to read the Milford Funds Product Disclosure Statements and Target Market Determinations at https://milfordasset.com.au/documents-and-forms/

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