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Kerr Neilson on oil shocks and why gold will hit $8,000
Kerr Neilson, the legendary contrarian investor behind Platinum, lays out a bold case for why the next decade may belong not to AI darlings.
He argues markets are entering a period of profound disruption, pointing to geopolitical fragmentation, war in the Middle East, and fragile global oil supply as long-term threats- warning these forces are reshaping markets.
Beyond the macro themes, he offers practical insights for advisers: the dangers of crowded trades, the inefficiencies created by passive investing, and the importance of contrarian thinking in an ETF-dominated world.
His message is clear. The biggest opportunities often lie where capital has been scarce.
In this episode:
00:00 Why Contrarian Investing Still Works
03:00 Where ETF Crowding Creates Opportunity
06:00 How Oil Shocks Could Reshape Portfolios
08:42 Balancing Gold, Cash And Real Assets
11:20 What Samsung And Platinum Signal
16:10 Where Advisers May Find Mispriced Value
šĀ Stocks and ETFs Mentioned:
Samsung (KRX: 005930)
Impala (JSE: IMP)
Petrobras (NYSE: PBR)
Sky Metals (ASX: SKY)
Valterra Platinum (JSE: VTR)
šļø Join us at the Basis Points Boat Party, get your tickets here.
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CPD Points: This episode is accredited for the following CPD points by the Financial Advice Association of Australia (FAAA).
0.50 Total Hours
Knowledge Requirements: Managed Investments (0.50 hour) | Legislated CPD Area: Technical Competence (0.50 hour)
Complete the quiz here to claim your points
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Basis Points is a product of Equity Mates Media.
This podcast is intended for education and entertainment purposes. Any advice is general advice only, and has not taken into account your personal financial circumstances, needs or objectives. Before acting on general advice, you should consider if it is relevant to your needs and read the relevant Product Disclosure Statement. And if you are unsure, please speak to a financial professional.
Equity Mates Media operates under Australian Financial Services Licence 540697.
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