{"version":"1.0","type":"rich","provider_name":"Acast","provider_url":"https://acast.com","height":250,"width":700,"html":"<iframe src=\"https://embed.acast.com/$/d556eb54-6160-4c85-95f4-47d9f5216c49/69e9ef82c8a506316d070d1b?\" frameBorder=\"0\" width=\"700\" height=\"250\"></iframe>","title":"Bringing the House down: our American midterms model","thumbnail_width":200,"thumbnail_height":200,"thumbnail_url":"https://open-images.acast.com/shows/62e286a934d4d93d6587424a/1776937810498-9c3a3a99-9277-4bdc-a738-4e02937ad987.jpeg?height=200","description":"<p>We examine what our forecast model <a href=\"https://www.economist.com/united-states/2026/04/21/our-midterms-forecast-predicts-pain-for-donald-trump?utm_campaign=a.io&amp;utm_medium=audio.podcast.np&amp;utm_source=theintelligence&amp;utm_content=discovery.content.anonymous.tr_shownotes_na-na_article&amp;utm_term=sa.listeners\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">predicts so far</a>—and consider what might change its confident prediction for one house of Congress and toss-up call for the other. Our correspondent sits down with Steve Reich, a pioneering classical composer who is nearing his 90th birthday. And the surprising reason why firstborns <a href=\"https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2026/04/16/why-eldest-siblings-are-brainier?utm_campaign=a.io&amp;utm_medium=audio.podcast.np&amp;utm_source=theintelligence&amp;utm_content=discovery.content.anonymous.tr_shownotes_na-na_article&amp;utm_term=sa.listeners\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">tend to have</a> more-successful lives.</p><p><br></p><p><em>Additional music courtesy of Steve Reich (Nonesuch Records), Erik Hall (Western Vinyl)</em></p><p><br></p><p>Guests and host:</p><ul><li>Dan Rosenheck, data editor</li><li>Jon Fasman, senior culture correspondent</li><li>Ainslie Johnstone, data journalist</li><li>Jason Palmer, co-host of “The Intelligence”</li></ul><p><br></p><p>Topics covered:&nbsp;</p><ul><li>American elections, Congress, polling, gerrymandering</li><li>Steve Reich, contemporary classical music</li><li>birth order, statistics</li></ul><p><br></p><p><em>Get a world of insights by </em><a href=\"https://subscribenow.economist.com/podcasts-plus\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><em>subscribing to Economist Podcasts+</em></a><em>. For more information about how to access Economist Podcasts+, please visit our </em><a href=\"https://myaccount.economist.com/s/article/What-is-Economist-Podcasts\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><em>FAQs page</em></a><em> or watch </em><a href=\"https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gczo71bg1uY\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><em>our video</em></a><em> explaining how to link your account.</em></p>","author_name":"The Economist"}