{"version":"1.0","type":"rich","provider_name":"Acast","provider_url":"https://acast.com","height":250,"width":700,"html":"<iframe src=\"https://embed.acast.com/$/95db78cc-f43b-4d7f-9ea6-ff6d3b926954/695ddb538e6dd12efb329a92?\" frameBorder=\"0\" width=\"700\" height=\"250\"></iframe>","title":"Embracing Uncertainty: A Conversation with Futurist Tamar Kasriel","thumbnail_width":200,"thumbnail_height":200,"thumbnail_url":"https://open-images.acast.com/shows/6100856531fd81f125b34dad/1767756154943-999e77f5-2d84-4504-ac44-73db500067a4.jpeg?height=200","description":"<p>Tamar Kasriel is a futurist and author of <em>Could: The Smart Thinking Handbook for When Nothing Is Certain.</em></p><p>In this conversation, Tamar traces her unconventional path, from studying history at Oxford to teaching English in rural Japan to advising some of the world's biggest brands on what's coming next. Along the way, she explains why the skills she learned studying historiography (the study of how history is written) are surprisingly useful in an age of disinformation, and why the goal of futures work isn't prediction. It's readiness.</p><p>We explore why multiple truths can coexist, why pessimism has no predictive advantage, and why agency, not certainty, is what leaders actually need right now.</p><p>This is Part One of two conversations. In Part Two, we'll dive deeper into the ideas in Tamar's book.</p><p>&nbsp;</p><p>Timecodes</p><p>00:00 Introduction</p><p>02:00 From Oxford to Japan: An unplanned path</p><p>08:00 Why multiple truths can coexist</p><p>13:00 Retail as \"the sharp end of consumption\"</p><p>21:00 Selfridges: From icon to cautionary tale</p><p>28:00 \"It's not about being right, it's about being ready\"</p><p>37:00 How scenario planning saved supermarkets in COVID</p><p>44:00 Herman Kahn and the origins of scenario planning</p><p>47:00 Why the book is called \"Could\"</p><p>50:00 \"Pessimism has no predictive advantage\"</p><p>55:00 Agency comes with accountability</p><p><strong>Socials</strong></p><p><a href=\"https://www.linkedin.com/in/tamarkasriel/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Linkedin</a> https://www.linkedin.com/in/tamarkasriel/</p><p><a href=\"https://www.tamarkasriel.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Website</a> https://www.tamarkasriel.com/</p><p><strong>Links</strong></p><p><a href=\"https://thecouldbook.com/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"><em>Could: The Smart Thinking Handbook for When Nothing Is Certain.</em></a></p><p>&nbsp;</p>","author_name":"Fabrica Collective"}