The past six weeks have been among the most turbulent in recent memory. A US-Israeli military campaign against Iran pushed the region to the brink of wider war before a ceasefire brokered by Pakistan halted hostilities. The relief was short-lived. Israeli strikes in Lebanon strained the truce almost immediately, and when JD Vance announced that US-Iran talks had collapsed, Trump declared a naval blockade on the Strait of Hormuz, the largest disruption to world energy supply since the 1970s oil crisis.
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