Eno, Trevor, and DVR unveil Trevor’s new deception model, digging into how it works, what it’s designed to measure, and the challenges of quantifying deception. They also break down the current leaders in deception among starters and relievers, and reveal where listeners can access the model (Hint: coming soon to Discord!). Later, they bring back How I’d Pitch This Guy with a look at Junior Caminero before shifting to the Rays’ rotation, focusing on Shane McClanahan and Griffin Jax.
Rundown:
1:15 Quantifying Deception: From 2016 to 2026
8:39 Current Kings of Deception: Top-Five Starting Pitchers for 2026
9:30 Current Kings of Deception: Top-Five Relief Pitchers for 2026
15:10 Looking to the Future: More Precision From Impact of Hitter's Vision?
23:15 Deception Model Coming Soon to Discord!
23:51 The Rays' 24-12 Start: What's Working Thus Far?
26:04 Is the League Pitching the Rays Wrong?
36:44 How I'd Pitch This Guy: Junior Caminero
42:33 Starkville Sneak Peek
44:38 Knocking the Rust Off: Shane McClanahan
49:46 Getting Out of Rehab Mode
54:37 Expectations for Griffin Jax as a Starter
Eno's FanGraphs Blog Post: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/an-attempt-to-quantify-pitcher-deception/
Follow DVR on Bluesky: @DVR.bsky.social
Follow Eno on Bluesky: @enosarris.bsky.social
Follow Trevor on Bluesky: @iamtrevormay.bsky.social
e-mail: ratesandbarrels@gmail.com
Join our Discord: https://discord.gg/FyBa9f3wFe
Subscribe to The Athletic: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels
Hosts: Derek VanRiper & Eno Sarris
With: Jed Lowrie
Editor: Jason Potere
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