After widespread expectations in 2025 of a structural dollar bear market, conditions appear to have shifted in 2026. The greenback's status as the world's reserve currency has strengthened over the past year, with the Dollar Index recording a modest, though not significant, gain. But is it simply a case of safe-haven buying at the outset of the conflict with Iran, combined with the prospect of higher inflation supporting tighter US monetary policy? Portfolio Manager Jason Borbora-Sheen examines the range of factors currently influencing the US dollar, including the stance and potential actions of a US Federal Reserve under the stewardship of a new Chair.