Tensions escalate in West Asia as Trump threatens strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, prompting Tehran to vow "decisive" retaliation without geographical limits. This analysis explores the risk of losing escalation control, Iran’s new target list including Diego Garcia, and potential ICBM capabilities. The discussion highlights the divergence between Netanyahu’s regional war plans and Iran’s diplomatic push for a post-US security framework via the Makkah Defense Alliance. Key insights include the decline of the petrodollar, the rise of AI-driven energy geopolitics, and how domestic US political pressures and alleged leverage over Trump influence his hesitation. A deep dive into whether Zionists are strengthening their hold despite IDF stress, and the stark choice between two opposing regional orders: one based on collective security and the other on absolute dominance.
","author_name":"Nima Rostami Alkhorshid"}