Escalating US-Israel-Iran war analyzed from multiple angles. Russia, aware of impending attack, issued no deterrent warning; Kremlin now debates supporting Iran versus preserving US relations. Conflict undermines Ukraine negotiations as US negotiators deemed untrustworthy. Lavrov warns US pressure may push Iran toward nuclear weapons, contrasting Gaddafi's fate with North Korea's deterrence. Iran's missiles provide conventional deterrence; their destruction risks Israeli nuclear escalation. Arab states remain weak while Iran's alliances endure. Rising oil prices benefit Russia. US faces domestic pressures: gas prices, elections, impeachment risks fuel White House splits. China's ambiguous stance—publicly neutral, possibly secretly aiding Iran—raises questions about Beijing's Taiwan strategy. War's outcome could reshape Eurasian power dynamics, with implications for global security, energy markets, and the future of diplomatic negotiations in contested regions.
","author_name":"Nima Rostami Alkhorshid"}