Analysis of Ukraine conflict following New START treaty expiration, with Russia advancing militarily while seeking U.S.-guaranteed European security architecture as NATO weakens. Discussion of European military incapacity and divergent hawkish/dovish voices. Examination of Iran-U.S. negotiations in Oman and Geneva amid Israeli pressure, with assessment that war with Iran would trigger catastrophic economic consequences (Strait of Hormuz closure) and military retaliation—making diplomacy the likely path forward ahead of U.S. midterms. Emphasis on need for political/economic intelligence to complement military analysis in foreign policy decisions.
","author_name":"Nima Rostami Alkhorshid"}