{"version":"1.0","type":"rich","provider_name":"Acast","provider_url":"https://acast.com","height":250,"width":700,"html":"<iframe src=\"https://embed.acast.com/$/66eac60aec4ba464d561d108/66eac60dec4ba464d561d17c?\" frameBorder=\"0\" width=\"700\" height=\"250\"></iframe>","title":"Ep: 35 Torygeddon - can the polls be right? With Tory expert Professor Tim Bale","description":"<p><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://www.buzzsprout.com/twilio/text_messages/2181263/open_sms\">Send us a text</a></p><p>Nick talks to Professor Tim Bale of the Queen Mary University of London, who is widely looked on as the UK&apos;s keenest academic observer of the Conservative Party. <br/><br/>Poll after poll indicates a near-extinction event for the Conservative Party on July 4th.  The disasters of Brexit, Johnson and Truss coupled with the Tories&apos; tedious and interminable culture wars have long exposed the supposed go-to party of government as more of an electoral suicide cult than anything else.<br/><br/>Tim and Nick discuss the potential scale of defeat for the Tories and whether or not -post-election -  they will try to recapture the vote-rich heartlands of the political centre ground or cling to its Farageist-Brexity wet blanket, a strategy that looks guaranteed to condemn them to the fringes of British politics for years to come, and possibly leave them exposed to a Reform Party reverse take-over. <br/><br/><a href='https://x.com/ProfTimBale'>@ProfTimBale</a> &apos;s  latest book <a href='https://www.amazon.co.uk/Conservative-Party-After-Brexit-Transformation/dp/1509546014/ref=sr_1_1?dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.AauTNGEAMs4pQ-yhS8smR-msQmDH-tYV9aR7Hvf3qMWn98sGHVEHv_-aD0JiY0IRHDXVhK9coag1QcEFOySiySP3Mk0atLMiZ8OX_cyqtmAU7q0MmEwLTp6mD3C-b_0VNxStdnMGRnTRhISfpEEjAWEG2YrA0ab3SWp3movLcU7ERvSkyxaDV5-ZecfZ5TzHR75OzI6z0gHJxPxQIzhp2k5j00rh80EFB0dkqaWemDA.RH_ZKGitKnxVUp_hg5sfiEYIhhwoj9NJuMGPVvYQ-NQ&amp;dib_tag=se&amp;qid=1719150254&amp;refinements=p_27%3ATim+Bale&amp;s=books&amp;sr=1-1'><em>The Conservative Party after Brexit  </em></a>(published by <em>Polity</em>) charts the Party&apos;s dizzying descent into nationalist and radical hard right Brexit populism.<br/><br/>Don&apos;t forget to read Nick&apos;s regular Substack column <a href='https://nickcohen.substack.com/'><em>Writing from London</em></a>.<br/><br/></p><p><a rel=\"payment\" href=\"https://www.buzzsprout.com/2181263/support\">Support the show</a></p><p><br/>Listen to The Lowdown from Nick Cohen for in-depth analysis of the issues and events that shape our lives and futures. From Ukraine to Brexit, from Trump to the Tories - we hope to keep you informed - and sane! @NickCohen4 </p>","author_name":"Nick Cohen"}