{"version":"1.0","type":"rich","provider_name":"Acast","provider_url":"https://acast.com","height":250,"width":700,"html":"<iframe src=\"https://embed.acast.com/$/66510864c0852400122bc7be/6ae273f64288e950ed3a9182?\" frameBorder=\"0\" width=\"700\" height=\"250\"></iframe>","title":"A Grain of Saul - Okay, the polls are getting a little ridiculous.","description":"<p>Is the &quot;blue tsunami&quot; talk legit?</p><p><br></p><p>Hey — I&#39;m Isaac Saul, the founder and executive editor of Tangle. This is my new semi-regular newsletter <em>A Grain of Saul</em>, where I dive into some topics we don&#39;t get to in our main newsletter.</p><p><br></p><p>One of two things is currently happening:</p><ol><li>President Trump is burning down a powerful political coalition in historic time, or</li><li>The polls are very misleading.</li></ol><p>YouGov recently ran <u><a href=\"https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ttw_tx_20260921_lv.pdf?ref=readtangle.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">a poll</a></u> on the Senate race in Texas. Among the respondents, 52% said they had voted for Donald Trump in 2024. 40% said they had voted for Kamala Harris. 41% self-identified as Republicans, while just 26% self-identified as Democrats.</p><p>And yet, in that poll, 50% of the respondents said they were planning to vote for the Democratic Senate candidate, James Talarico, and 44% said they were planning to vote for the Republican, Trump-endorsed candidate Ken Paxton. Of the people who responded that they were voting for Talarico, 97% said their mind was made up, while just 3% said there was still a chance they’d switch to Paxton.</p><p><br></p><p>Again: James Talarico, the man President Trump has dubbed “James TalaFREAKO,” is polling six points ahead of the president’s preferred candidate, <em>in Texas</em>, among a group of respondents who broke 52–40 in the president’s favor less than two years ago.</p><p><br></p><p>It’s not just in Texas, either. In Kansas, a state Trump won by 16 points in 2024, the Senate race is now a toss-up. A New York Times/Siena College <u><a href=\"https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/10/04/polls/times-siena-kansas-poll-crosstabs.html?ref=readtangle.com#:~:text=third%2Dparty%20candidates)-,If%20this%20November%E2%80%99s%20general%20election%20for%20U.S.%20Senate%20were%20held%20today%2C%20which%20candidate%20would%20you%20be%20more%20likely%20to%20vote%20for%3F,-GENDER\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">poll</a></u> published earlier this month shows the race tied. Kansas hasn’t elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1932.</p><p><br></p><h3>The hidden cost of the data-center boom.</h3><p>In recent Tangle editions, we’ve covered artificial intelligence, AI hacks, data centers, data center moratoriums — if it’s related to the AI boom (or bubble), we’ve been on it. In our new YouTube video, Associate Producer Aidan Gorman follows another lead: Are utility bills going up to pay for data centers in other states? To find the answer, Aidan takes to the road and follows a new electric line from an existing coal plant in West Virginia through a planned substation in Maryland to data centers in Virginia. You can check it out <a href=\"https://youtu.be/tqm3qgucTqQ?si=7H55wI9p2z31hKJ2\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">here.</a></p><h3></h3><p><br></p><p><strong>Ad-free podcasts are here!</strong></p><p><a href=\"https://buy.stripe.com/8x228qgXU6hG38U9wk1VK02?prefilled_promo_code=WELCOMETANGLEPODCAST\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Get 20% off your first year</a> of ad-free episodes, exclusive interviews, and deep dives with Tangle’s podcast membership!</p><h3></h3><p><br></p><p>You can<a href=\"https://www.readtangle.com/membership/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"> subscribe to Tangle by clicking here</a> or drop something<a href=\"https://givebutter.com/khshEi?ref=readtangle.com\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\"> in our tip jar by clicking here.</a></p><p><br></p><p>Our Executive Editor and Founder is Isaac Saul. Our Executive Producer is Jon Lall.</p><p><br></p><p>This podcast written by: <u><a href=\"https://www.readtangle.com/author/isaac-saul/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Isaac Saul</a> </u>and audio engineered and edited by Dewey Thomas. Music for the podcast was produced by Jon Lall.</p><p><br></p><p>Our newsletter is edited by Managing Editor Ari Weitzman, Senior Editor Will Kaback, Bailey Saul, Audrey Moorehead, and Carina Pacheco.</p>","author_name":"Isaac Saul"}