{"version":"1.0","type":"rich","provider_name":"Acast","provider_url":"https://acast.com","height":250,"width":700,"html":"<iframe src=\"https://embed.acast.com/$/663109c2cff31b0012ae91dc/6829f90cbc0e758152cde890?\" frameBorder=\"0\" width=\"700\" height=\"250\"></iframe>","title":"104: Snakes in a cave, or why biases aren't bugs","description":"<p>In which we sit in the garden, roast gently in the sun, and talk about cognitive biases, Panglossian optimism, Russian roulette, snakes on planes, and why most design is... fine actually. A very one-take kind of episode. Leaf-in-coffee energy throughout.</p><p><br></p><ul><li>Confirmation bias affects individuals. But if you want to harm an entire organisation, you need validation.</li><li>You can be right, they can be right, or (more likely) you’re <em>both</em> missing something and a third way exists.</li><li>Heuristics are usually good. It’s when you step into a new context that they betray you.</li><li>Change start with acceptance. Weirdly, that’s when things can shift.</li><li>Almost everything on our shelves is poorly designed in some way ... and yet it’s still there.</li></ul><p><br></p><p><strong>Links, Ideas, and People Referenced</strong></p><p><br></p><ul><li>Gary Klein – firefighter heuristic/pattern recognition story –&nbsp;more at <a href=\"https://youtu.be/QKpMLYwLRR4?si=8ie9txFbL__Q88gI\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">https://youtu.be/QKpMLYwLRR4?si=8ie9txFbL__Q88gI</a></li><li>Daniel Kahneman – cognitive biases, focusing illusion</li><li>Nora Bateson – snake instinct, context-specific intuition </li><li>XKCD’s \"10,000\" Comic – <a href=\"https://xkcd.com/1053/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">https://xkcd.com/1053/</a></li><li>Taylor Pearson on Ergodicity – <a href=\"https://taylorpearson.me/ergodicity/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">https://taylorpearson.me/ergodicity/</a></li><li>Prisoner's Dilemma – <a href=\"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prisoner%27s_dilemma\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prisoner%27s_dilemma</a></li><li>Candide by Voltaire – Dr. Pangloss and \"all for the best\" satire</li><li>Gary’s Economics (YouTube) – <a href=\"https://www.youtube.com/@garyseconomics\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">https://www.youtube.com/@garyseconomics</a></li><li>Oliver Burkeman – stress, lateness, perspective</li><li>10–10–10 Rule – “Will I care in 10 minutes, 10 months, 10 years?”</li></ul><p><br></p><p><br></p><p><br></p>","author_name":"Tom Kerwin and Corissa Nunn"}