It remains unclear whether the US President had requested a full risk assessment before deciding to launch airstrikes against Iran, or whether the option of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz was highlighted then. However, the reality of the closed Strait, the global economic impact and the resulting rapidly changing international order highlight a core reality: our lives are underpinned by risk.
From individual issues of choice such as investments or acquisitions to state-level realities such as pandemics, wars or climate change, understanding and assessing risk is integral to both events - and decision making. Ultimately, all events are an outcome of a decision based (or, equally, not) on an assessment of risk.
Assessing risk is a vast and growing realm, made ever more complex and wide by the introduction of technology and especially AI. In our rapidly changing reality, understanding the possibilities and consequences of a decision is no longer a simple act of sequencing but also of modelling and so much more. To best understand these complex and rapidly evolving concepts, Tinatin Japaridze, Director of Geopolitics at Anadyr Horizon joins us in a fabulous and philosophical discussion.
This episode was recorded on 3 June 2026.
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