Last week in the UK, economic data showed that optimism amongst British businesses grew in August as Lloyds Bank’s confidence index rose to 53%, the highest since the start of the Iran conflict. Business inflation expectations fell to a five-year low, whilst the latest Citi/YouGov survey showed an increase in the general public’s expectation of higher inflation, meaning that perhaps households are bracing themselves for higher prices. These contrasting data indicators can leave the Bank of England (“BoE”) in a difficult spot as rising inflation expectations are directly shifting rate forecasts, forcing money markets to push back expectations for the BoE’s next rate hike to February 2027...
Stocks featured:
BP, Computacenter and Melrose Industries
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